Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wycombe Wanderers v Plymouth Argyle

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Final: Wycombe Wanderers 1–1 Plymouth Argyle

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wycombe Wanderers (Local)

Prediction 37.89%2.64fair odd
EV +1.55%
Edge +0.577%
Kelly +0.920%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.13%37.98%37.85%40.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.452.6843.48%40.68%40.82%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Plymouth Argyle (Visit)

Prediction 34.84%2.87fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.873%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.88%34.81%34.88%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.642.652.8040.32%37.91%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.27%3.67fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.509%
Kelly -0.705%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.65%27.21%27.27%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.54%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wycombe Wanderers (Local): 37.89%; Plymouth Argyle (Visit): 34.84%; Draw: 27.27%. For Wycombe Wanderers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.13%EV +1.55%E +0.577%K +0.920%G +0.014%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.97%EV -13.59%E -5.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -1.48%E -0.571%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -8.37%E -3.18%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -1.48%E -0.571%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -8.37%E -3.18%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 22:35
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -3.38%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -3.38%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:35
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -3.38%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -3.38%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:39
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -3.38%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.15%E -4.37%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:35
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.06%EV -4.14%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -2.79%E -1.00%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.43%EV -4.29%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 13:50
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -4.19%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 13:25
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.90%E -5.16%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 13:39
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.90%E -5.16%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.90%E -5.16%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 13:39
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.90%E -5.16%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 13:35
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.90%E -5.16%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 13:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.90%E -5.16%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.59%EV -6.03%E -2.43%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.66%EV -6.28%E -2.33%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -8.38%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.19%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 13:54
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.51%EV -2.79%E -1.00%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 13:49
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:55
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:25
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:15
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:14
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:54
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:15
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.41%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:25
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:54
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.72%E -3.33%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 13:34
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.72%E -3.33%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.72%E -3.33%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.72%E -3.33%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.79%EV -8.31%E -3.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.20%E -0.901%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 13:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.79%EV -8.31%E -3.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.20%E -0.901%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 13:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 37.63%EV -8.68%E -3.60%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -9.41%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 13:25
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -2.44%E -0.873%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:54
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -2.44%E -0.873%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.41%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -1.83%E -0.509%K -0.705%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:39
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:53
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.41%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:25
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.41%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 12:24
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 13:54
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -12.90%E -5.16%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 13:44
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.96%E -4.66%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -4.19%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:54
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -12.85%E -5.59%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -1.83%E -0.509%K -0.705%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.85%E -5.59%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -2.44%E -0.873%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -12.85%E -5.59%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -12.85%E -5.59%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-08-22 13:55
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-08-22 13:55
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-08-22 13:55