Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wycombe Wanderers v Notts County

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Wycombe Wanderers 2–0 Notts County

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wycombe Wanderers (Local)

Prediction 51.75%1.93fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -4.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.76%51.86%51.64%55.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.801.801.8660.61%55.53%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notts County (Visit)

Prediction 22.86%4.37fair odd
EV +5.17%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.44%
Growth +0.074%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.23%22.76%22.93%24.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.064.004.6027.40%24.60%25.00%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.39%3.94fair odd
EV -0.718%
Edge -0.184%
Kelly -0.247%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.56%25.38%25.43%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.603.9129.41%27.51%27.78%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wycombe Wanderers (Local): 51.75%; Notts County (Visit): 22.86%; Draw: 25.39%. For Notts County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +5.17%E +1.12%K +1.44%G +0.074%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +2.88%E +0.640%K +0.823%G +0.024%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -14.62%E -8.86%K -22.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +2.88%E +0.640%K +0.823%G +0.024%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.66%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.78%EV +0.823%E +0.187%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -0.718%E -0.184%K -0.247%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 13:55
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.66%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.78%EV +0.823%E +0.187%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -0.718%E -0.184%K -0.247%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.595%E +0.135%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -3.51%E -0.924%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:53
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -1.69%E -0.393%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -1.69%E -0.393%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.36%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -2.83%E -0.667%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 13:49
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.98%E -0.947%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -3.98%E -0.947%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.51%E -0.924%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 13:55
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.98%E -0.947%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 13:49
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.98%E -0.947%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 13:48
picklebet_au🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.98%E -0.947%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -5.82%E -3.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.26%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 13:50
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.26%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 13:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.09%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -6.26%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-17 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.44%EV -6.34%E -3.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -7.41%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.58%EV -7.57%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 13:33
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.13%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.16%EV -7.64%E -1.89%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.71%EV -7.57%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:40
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:40
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.46%EV -3.75%E -2.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:50
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:50
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:50
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.51%E -0.924%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:50
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 13:50
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 13:45
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 13:45
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 13:55
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 13:55
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 13:45
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.55%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 13:50
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.69%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.69%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 13:50
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -5.82%E -3.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.06%EV -5.82%E -3.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -6.05%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:40
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -6.34%E -3.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.13%EV -6.34%E -3.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -11.98%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.40%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.27%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -11.98%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.40%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.27%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -11.98%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.40%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.27%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -11.98%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -12.40%E -3.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.22%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -11.98%E -3.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -13.67%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -13.12%E -3.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 13:54
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -16.55%E -4.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -13.67%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 13:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-10-17 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.72%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.72%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-10-17 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.72%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-10-17 13:50
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-10-17 13:55