Language:English
Wycombe Wanderers v Luton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wycombe Wanderers (Local)
Prediction 35.87%2.79fair odd
EV +0.439%
Edge +0.157%
Kelly +0.244%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.53%35.94%35.88%38.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.622.602.8041.67%38.16%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Luton (Visit)
Prediction 37.72%2.65fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.83%37.73%37.77%40.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.452.5744.44%41.49%40.82%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.41%3.79fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.34%26.35%27.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.513.503.6429.41%28.51%28.57%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wycombe Wanderers (Local): 35.87%; Luton (Visit): 37.72%; Draw: 26.41%. For Wycombe Wanderers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.439%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV +0.439%E +0.157%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -12.11%E -5.20%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV +0.439%E +0.157%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -12.11%E -5.20%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV +0.439%E +0.157%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -12.11%E -5.20%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV +0.439%E +0.157%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -12.11%E -5.20%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV +0.439%E +0.157%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -12.11%E -5.20%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV +0.439%E +0.157%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -12.11%E -5.20%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV +0.439%E +0.157%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -12.11%E -5.20%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV +0.439%E +0.157%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -12.11%E -5.20%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 11:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -3.15%E -1.17%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -15.13%E -6.72%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -3.15%E -1.17%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -15.13%E -6.72%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -3.15%E -1.17%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -15.13%E -6.72%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.94%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 07:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -4.94%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -15.13%E -6.72%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -4.94%E -1.86%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -15.13%E -6.72%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.23%EV -5.30%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.81%EV -7.21%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-02 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.23%EV -5.30%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.81%EV -7.21%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-02 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -5.66%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.02%E -2.30%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -5.70%E -2.28%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 07:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.02%E -2.30%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -5.70%E -2.28%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.02%E -2.30%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -5.70%E -2.28%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.02%E -2.30%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -9.47%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.02%E -2.30%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 09:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.02%E -2.30%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 09:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.74%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.70%E -2.28%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 04:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.74%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 07:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.74%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 07:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.74%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 04:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.74%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.74%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 07:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.74%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 07:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.74%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.47%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.74%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.74%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.47%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 07:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.74%E -2.59%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.47%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-02 07:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.05%EV -8.17%E -3.19%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.90%EV -3.06%E -1.19%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 06:16 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -6.25%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 07:12 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.89%E -2.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 10:11 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 10:13 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.78%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.39%EV -7.96%E -3.26%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 04:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.53%E -3.34%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -11.36%E -4.83%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-04 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 06:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 06:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 06:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.59%E -3.10%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 06:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.32%E -4.13%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.23%E -4.30%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -10.21%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-02 07:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -13.91%E -5.80%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -3.81%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.57%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -13.91%E -5.80%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -9.47%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -4.93%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-02 08:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.36% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.07% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 36.46% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 36.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 34.28% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 36.71% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 29.01% | 20.5% | 2026-10-05 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 23.86% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 23.66% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 52.48% | 73.2% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |