Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wycombe Wanderers v Bradford City

Kickoff: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wycombe Wanderers (Local)

Prediction 43.49%2.30fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.08%43.47%43.56%44.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2050.00%46.79%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bradford City (Visit)

Prediction 28.71%3.48fair odd
EV +0.488%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.195%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.11%28.68%28.73%29.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.233.203.5032.26%30.98%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.80%3.60fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.83%27.84%27.71%29.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.333.353.5034.72%30.06%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wycombe Wanderers (Local): 43.49%; Bradford City (Visit): 28.71%; Draw: 27.80%. For Bradford City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.488%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.28%EV -5.64%E -2.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV +0.488%E +0.139%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 13:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.28%EV -5.64%E -2.60%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV +0.488%E +0.139%K +0.195%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.14%EV -5.20%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.22%EV -2.10%E -0.615%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -3.24%E -0.932%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.38%E -0.701%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:44
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -3.82%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:44
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.15%EV -4.39%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.24%EV -7.69%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -7.38%E -3.46%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -4.68%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -7.69%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:45
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -2.69%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:15
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:15
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:15
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 13:15
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:35
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:35
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.69%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -5.20%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -6.07%E -2.81%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:44
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -6.07%E -2.81%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -6.07%E -2.81%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -6.07%E -2.81%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:44
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -6.07%E -2.81%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:44
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%EV -6.07%E -2.81%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:35
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.47%E -1.61%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:35
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:35
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.13%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.64%E -2.97%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.56%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.56%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -9.56%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:44
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -9.56%E -3.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:35
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -7.81%E -3.68%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-06 13:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.03%E -3.45%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:35
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.25%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -13.03%E -6.51%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -11.00%E -3.55%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -19.92%E -6.92%K -10.60%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.2%2026-04-06 13:45