Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wimbledon v Reading

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Final: Wimbledon 0–0 Reading

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wimbledon (Local)

Prediction 33.01%3.03fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.890%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.17%33.08%32.97%34.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.802.9538.46%35.97%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Reading (Visit)

Prediction 38.90%2.57fair odd
EV -0.796%
Edge -0.312%
Kelly -0.514%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.70%38.86%39.01%41.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.412.402.5545.45%41.53%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.09%3.56fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.310%
Kelly +0.430%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.97%28.06%28.01%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.293.303.6031.75%30.39%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wimbledon (Local): 33.01%; Reading (Visit): 38.90%; Draw: 28.09%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -10.52%E -4.57%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV +1.12%E +0.310%K +0.430%G +0.005%7.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -3.95%E -1.36%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.15%EV -4.30%E -1.75%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.75%EV -2.53%E -0.730%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 13:50
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -2.74%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 13:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -9.23%E -3.36%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -2.74%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 13:39
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -5.27%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -6.63%E -2.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -5.27%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -6.63%E -2.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:54
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.63%E -2.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:44
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.28%E -1.47%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -10.52%E -4.57%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -4.94%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -10.52%E -4.57%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -2.63%E -0.890%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -14.41%E -6.55%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.50%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 13:55
BetUS🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.42%EV -9.56%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.43%EV -1.96%E -0.779%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 13:27
BetOnline.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.02%EV -2.96%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.89%EV -8.19%E -3.47%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.02%EV -2.96%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.89%EV -8.19%E -3.47%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.58%E -3.65%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:55
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.58%E -3.65%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.90%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:54
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.22%EV -6.92%E -2.45%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -5.46%E -2.25%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.22%EV -6.75%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.94%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.52%EV -8.19%E -3.47%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.75%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -9.23%E -3.36%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.796%E -0.312%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -9.23%E -3.36%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.796%E -0.312%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -4.69%E -1.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.28%E -1.47%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.63%E -2.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 13:55
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.28%E -1.47%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.63%E -2.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 13:54
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -9.23%E -3.36%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.74%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:39
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.74%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:19
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -7.41%E -3.11%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 13:54
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.58%E -3.65%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:50
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.58%E -3.65%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:50
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -5.93%E -2.08%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.58%E -3.65%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -4.94%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -10.52%E -4.57%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 13:50
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -9.23%E -3.36%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.41%E -3.11%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:54
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.63%E -2.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:39
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.23%E -3.36%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.58%E -3.65%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 13:54
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.52%E -4.57%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.31%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 13:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -9.23%E -3.36%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -4.69%E -1.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:39
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -10.88%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -4.69%E -1.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:39
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -8.58%E -3.65%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:53
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.52%E -4.57%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 13:55
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -10.52%E -4.57%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.71%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 13:50
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.63%E -2.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.63%E -2.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.58%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.63%E -2.76%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -12.53%E -4.73%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -2.74%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -12.53%E -4.73%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -2.74%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -12.53%E -4.73%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -2.74%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -12.53%E -4.73%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -2.74%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:50
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -12.53%E -4.73%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -2.74%E -1.10%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -9.23%E -3.36%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.43%EV -7.80%E -3.29%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.12%E -3.16%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 13:55
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -13.19%E -5.01%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.91%EV -4.69%E -1.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -13.19%E -5.01%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.91%EV -4.69%E -1.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -13.19%E -5.01%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.91%EV -4.69%E -1.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 13:50
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.38%EV -13.19%E -5.01%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.91%EV -4.69%E -1.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 13:50
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -14.18%E -5.45%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -4.69%E -1.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 13:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -14.18%E -5.45%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -4.69%E -1.91%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -11.52%E -3.66%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-08-22 13:55
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-08-22 13:55
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.66%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.1%2026-08-22 13:55