Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wimbledon v Plymouth Argyle

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Score final : Wimbledon 1–3 Plymouth Argyle

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wimbledon (Local)

Prévision 25.14%3.98cote équitable
EV +3.08%
Avantage +0.752%
Kelly +0.995%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.92%25.15%25.06%26.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.763.754.1029.41%26.57%26.67%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Plymouth Argyle (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.87%2.05cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -3.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.93%48.96%48.82%51.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.771.871.871.9856.50%53.49%53.48%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.99%3.85cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.330%
Kelly -0.448%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.59%25.90%26.12%27.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.603.603.8031.25%27.76%27.78%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Wimbledon (Local) : 25.14% ; Plymouth Argyle (Visiteur) : 48.87% ; Match nul : 25.99%. Pour Wimbledon (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.98. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.10, soit une espérance positive de +3.08%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV +3.08%E +0.752%K +0.995%G +0.031%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:19
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV +3.08%E +0.752%K +0.995%G +0.031%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV +3.08%E +0.752%K +0.995%G +0.031%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:20
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -11.54%E -6.38%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -11.54%E -6.38%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -11.54%E -6.38%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -11.54%E -6.38%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -11.54%E -6.38%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -11.54%E -6.38%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -11.54%E -6.38%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -12.03%E -6.68%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:19
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -12.03%E -6.68%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -0.688%E -0.174%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.41%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -0.688%E -0.174%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.41%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -0.688%E -0.174%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -13.50%E -7.62%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -0.688%E -0.174%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -13.50%E -7.62%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:19
Pinnacle🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.81%EV -2.70%E -0.698%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.74%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.45%EV -5.67%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 13:50
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -3.20%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 13:39
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -1.26%E -0.330%K -0.448%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:40
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.61%E -4.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:39
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.85%EV -9.10%E -4.89%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.72%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.26%E -0.330%K -0.448%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.72%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.26%E -0.330%K -0.448%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:40
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.72%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.26%E -0.330%K -0.448%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:39
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.72%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -2.55%E -0.681%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:40
Everygame🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.72%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.47%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.58%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:50
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.17%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -2.55%E -0.681%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -8.23%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.12%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:50
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -8.23%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.12%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:49
1xBet🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 25.89%EV -9.24%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.19%EV -3.59%E -0.969%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:50
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -2.55%E -0.681%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:48
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -2.55%E -0.681%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:50
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -2.55%E -0.681%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.61%E -4.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.85%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:50
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.61%E -4.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.85%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:50
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:40
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:39
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:37
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -12.03%E -6.68%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.85%E -5.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-18 13:40
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -10.75%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -10.75%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:49
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.75%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.75%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -8.61%E -4.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Bet Right🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -8.12%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:50
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 13:49
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -14.52%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.20%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.20%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-04-18 13:40