La escuela de los momios

Wimbledon v Plymouth Argyle

Inicio: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Final: Wimbledon 1–3 Plymouth Argyle

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wimbledon (Local)

Predicción 25.14%3.98momio equitativo
EV +3.08%
Ventaja +0.752%
Kelly +0.995%
Crecimiento +0.031%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.92%25.15%25.06%26.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.763.754.1029.41%26.57%26.67%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Plymouth Argyle (Visitante)

Predicción 48.87%2.05momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -3.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.93%48.96%48.82%51.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.871.871.9856.50%53.49%53.48%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.99%3.85momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.330%
Kelly -0.448%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.59%25.90%26.12%27.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.603.603.8031.25%27.76%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV +3.08%E +0.752%K +0.995%G +0.031%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:19
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV +3.08%E +0.752%K +0.995%G +0.031%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:20
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV +3.08%E +0.752%K +0.995%G +0.031%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:20
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -11.54%E -6.38%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -11.54%E -6.38%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -11.54%E -6.38%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -11.54%E -6.38%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -11.54%E -6.38%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -11.54%E -6.38%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.32%EV -11.54%E -6.38%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -12.03%E -6.68%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:19
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +0.569%E +0.142%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -12.03%E -6.68%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:20
BetOnline.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -0.688%E -0.174%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.41%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:50
LowVig.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -0.688%E -0.174%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.41%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:50
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -0.688%E -0.174%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -13.50%E -7.62%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:19
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -0.688%E -0.174%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -13.50%E -7.62%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:19
Pinnacle3.87I 25.84%NM 24.81%EV -2.70%E -0.698%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.74%EV -3.72%E -1.89%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.45%EV -5.67%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 13:50
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -3.20%E -0.832%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 13:39
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -1.26%E -0.330%K -0.448%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:40
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.61%E -4.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:39
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.85%EV -9.10%E -4.89%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:40
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.46%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.72%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.26%E -0.330%K -0.448%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.72%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.26%E -0.330%K -0.448%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:40
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.72%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.26%E -0.330%K -0.448%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:39
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.72%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -2.55%E -0.681%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:40
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.72%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 13:40
Marathon Bet3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.47%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.58%EV -6.17%E -3.21%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:50
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.17%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -2.55%E -0.681%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -8.23%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.12%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:50
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -8.23%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.12%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:49
1xBet3.61I 27.70%NM 25.89%EV -9.24%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.19%EV -3.59%E -0.969%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:50
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -2.55%E -0.681%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:48
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -2.55%E -0.681%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:50
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -2.55%E -0.681%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:50
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.61%E -4.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.85%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:50
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.61%E -4.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.85%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:50
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:40
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:40
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:39
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:37
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -12.03%E -6.68%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -16.85%E -5.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-18 13:40
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -10.75%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -10.75%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -3.23%E -1.63%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:49
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.75%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Codere (IT)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.75%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -8.61%E -4.60%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -8.12%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:50
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.00%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.65%E -3.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 13:49
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -14.52%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.20%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.20%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-04-18 13:40