Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.25
assuming max odds 3.32
assuming max odds 3.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wimbledon (Local): 43.96%; Peterborough United (Visit): 29.59%; Draw: 26.45%. For Wimbledon (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -1.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.41%EV -1.09%E -0.485%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -2.12%E -0.572%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.20%E -4.90%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.12%E -0.572%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.20%E -4.90%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.12%E -0.572%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.20%E -4.90%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -2.12%E -0.572%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -14.20%E -4.90%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 13:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.17%E -1.91%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -1.78%E -0.535%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.82%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 11:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.49%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.33%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.33%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.33%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -3.85%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.40%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.81%E -3.21%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -3.85%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.40%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.33%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -3.44%E -0.943%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.33%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -3.44%E -0.943%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 12:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.33%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.33%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 14:37 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.85%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -4.73%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:18 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.33%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 14:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.33%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.70%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -8.73%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:11 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -8.73%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.48%EV -8.12%E -3.89%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.76%E -3.20%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -9.44%E -4.58%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.73%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -9.44%E -4.58%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.73%E -2.53%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.33%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.40%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.88%E -4.82%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.27% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |