The School of Odds
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Wimbledon v Mansfield Town

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 18:45 UTC

Final: Wimbledon 0–3 Mansfield Town

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wimbledon (Local)

Prediction 28.58%3.50fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.322%
Kelly -0.452%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.30%28.51%28.56%29.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.253.253.4632.26%30.74%30.77%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mansfield Town (Visit)

Prediction 44.21%2.26fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.08%44.26%44.16%46.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.102.102.1851.28%47.68%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.21%3.67fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.564%
Kelly -0.781%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.16%27.24%27.29%28.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.413.403.6030.77%29.32%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wimbledon (Local): 28.58%; Mansfield Town (Visit): 44.21%; Draw: 27.21%. For Wimbledon (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.46, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.83%EV -1.11%E -0.322%K -0.452%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -3.63%E -1.67%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.99%EV -6.38%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-20 18:35
BetUS🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.83%EV -1.11%E -0.322%K -0.452%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -3.63%E -1.67%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.99%EV -6.38%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-20 18:35
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -8.05%E -3.87%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-20 18:30
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.26%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -8.05%E -3.87%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-20 18:35
1xBet🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.09%EV -4.83%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.36%EV -6.93%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 05:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.04%EV -5.11%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.75%EV -8.05%E -3.87%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.22%EV -6.93%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 05:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -2.03%E -0.564%K -0.781%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-20 18:35
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 18:20
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.63%E -1.67%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.63%E -1.67%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:20
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:00
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:00
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:00
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 16:05
betano_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 16:04
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -6.28%E -2.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 16:55
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-20 18:20
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-20 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -5.69%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -13.80%E -7.08%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-20 18:20
picklebet_au🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-20 18:00
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -2.03%E -0.564%K -0.781%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-20 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-20 18:00
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-20 18:20
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 05:09
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.05%E -3.87%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-20 18:30
TAB🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.38%E -4.57%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-20 18:35
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.38%E -4.57%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-20 18:18
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-20 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-20 18:20
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-20 18:20
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-20 16:45
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.38%E -4.57%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 18:35
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.38%E -4.57%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 05:10
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-20 18:15
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-20 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-20 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.56%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-20 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.38%E -4.57%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-20 18:00
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.97%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -9.38%E -4.57%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -6.11%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.97%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.31%EV -9.82%E -4.81%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-20 18:00
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.97%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.31%EV -9.82%E -4.81%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-20 18:00
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -9.97%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.31%EV -9.82%E -4.81%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -8.83%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-20 18:00
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.97%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -9.82%E -4.81%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.97%E -3.17%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -9.82%E -4.81%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.34%EV -7.61%E -3.64%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.45%EV -10.19%E -3.09%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-20 18:05
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.59%E -5.79%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.47%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-20 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-10-20 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.1%2026-10-20 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.1%2026-10-20 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.1%2026-10-20 18:30
Smarkets◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.82%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-10-20 18:35