The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Wigan Athletic v Reading

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Wigan Athletic 1–0 Reading

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wigan Athletic (Local)

Prediction 23.20%4.31fair odd
EV +2.08%
Edge +0.474%
Kelly +0.613%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.73%23.17%23.19%24.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.973.954.4027.03%25.18%25.32%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Reading (Visit)

Prediction 51.94%1.93fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -3.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.98%51.94%52.00%54.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.801.801.8759.88%55.48%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.86%4.02fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.781%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.93%24.90%24.81%25.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.703.703.9028.57%27.04%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wigan Athletic (Local): 23.20%; Reading (Visit): 51.94%; Draw: 24.86%. For Wigan Athletic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV +2.08%E +0.474%K +0.613%G +0.013%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -13.26%E -7.94%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 13:50
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -0.236%E -0.055%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 13:35
Pinnacle🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.23%EV -4.43%E -2.41%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.89%EV -4.04%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 13:40
BetUS🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.23%EV -4.43%E -2.41%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.89%EV -4.04%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 13:30
picklebet_au🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 13:30
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 13:35
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:30
Bet Victor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:24
betano_uk🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:28
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.42%EV -7.03%E -3.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.42%EV -7.03%E -3.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.00%EV -7.03%E -3.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.52%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 13:20
1xBet🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 22.92%EV -5.34%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.67%EV -5.99%E -3.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.41%EV -8.52%E -2.31%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:35
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -5.47%E -3.01%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:35
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 13:35
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 13:50
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 13:30
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 13:35
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 13:25
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 13:40
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -8.59%E -4.88%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 13:33
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -5.47%E -3.01%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 13:40
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -5.47%E -3.01%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 13:35
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -2.87%E -1.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -2.87%E -1.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:20
Casumo🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -2.87%E -1.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -2.87%E -1.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:20
betPARX🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -2.87%E -1.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -2.87%E -1.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -2.87%E -1.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 13:30
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:35
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 13:35
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 13:34
TAB🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 13:40
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 13:30
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 13:30
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.84%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 13:00
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.84%E -3.11%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -10.14%E -5.86%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.05%EV -5.47%E -3.01%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -11.75%E -3.31%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 13:20
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 13:20
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 13:20
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 13:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-10-17 13:55
Matchbook◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-10-17 13:35
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-10-17 13:55