Language:English
Wigan Athletic v Mansfield Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wigan Athletic (Local)
Prediction 40.68%2.46fair odd
EV -5.62%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -4.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.10%40.67%40.66%41.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.282.302.3244.84%43.86%43.48%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mansfield Town (Visit)
Prediction 32.67%3.06fair odd
EV -5.92%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.21%32.75%32.62%33.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.832.812.8836.36%35.39%35.52%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.65%3.75fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.376%
Kelly -0.515%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.44%26.58%26.73%27.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.473.453.7030.30%28.83%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wigan Athletic (Local): 40.68%; Mansfield Town (Visit): 32.67%; Draw: 26.65%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.35%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.92%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.35%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.92%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.35%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.92%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.35%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.92%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.35%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.92%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.35%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.92%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.35%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.92%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.35%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.92%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 10:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.26%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.89%EV -7.22%E -2.54%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -7.25%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-27 07:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.04%EV -6.03%E -2.61%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.92%EV -5.92%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.04%EV -2.99%E -0.822%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 02:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -5.92%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -1.39%E -0.376%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 14:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 02:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 02:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-28 14:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.86%EV -7.55%E -2.67%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.72%EV -7.25%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-27 07:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-27 02:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-30 14:28 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -5.39%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-27 02:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-26 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 20:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 20:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.39%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 02:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-27 02:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-27 02:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-27 02:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-27 02:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-27 07:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-27 07:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.72%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 14:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.61%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-26 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.61%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-26 14:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 43.44% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 36.14% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.42% | 22.4% | 2026-10-01 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 38.89% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 31.73% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 29.38% | 26.1% | 2026-10-01 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 38.92% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 31.96% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 29.12% | 27.2% | 2026-10-01 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 21.88% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 39.06% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 39.06% | 128.6% | 2026-10-01 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 29.44% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 34.96% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 35.60% | 155.4% | 2026-10-01 13:20 |