Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wigan Athletic v Leyton Orient

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Final: Wigan Athletic 0–2 Leyton Orient

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wigan Athletic (Local)

Prediction 46.90%2.13fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.77%46.80%46.86%48.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.002.002.0852.63%50.05%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leyton Orient (Visit)

Prediction 25.74%3.88fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.575%
Kelly -0.780%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.65%25.86%25.70%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.553.503.8029.41%28.13%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.36%3.65fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.418%
Kelly -0.578%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.61%27.33%27.44%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.353.6032.26%29.92%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wigan Athletic (Local): 46.90%; Leyton Orient (Visit): 25.74%; Draw: 27.36%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯⚠ implausible3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV +64.15%E +18.33%K +25.66%G +16.46%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -47.49%E -23.28%K -45.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -2.45%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -9.71%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -2.45%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -9.71%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:50
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:09
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -8.34%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:10
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -8.34%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -4.33%E -2.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -4.33%E -2.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:15
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.33%E -2.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.33%E -2.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.33%E -2.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.33%E -2.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 13:45
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.33%E -2.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 13:49
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.42%EV -4.80%E -2.36%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.47%EV -2.70%E -0.714%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -2.87%E -0.809%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -13.82%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -13.82%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:50
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -13.82%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -13.82%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:50
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.47%E -0.926%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 13:29
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 13:15
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -1.50%E -0.418%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:14
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 13:54
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 13:19
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:29
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.61%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:44
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.71%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:29
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.18%E -4.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 13:47
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -15.18%E -4.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.86%EV -6.67%E -3.35%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -7.52%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:44
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -7.14%E -3.61%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -2.18%E -0.575%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.04%EV -8.62%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:49
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -7.14%E -3.61%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.71%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -7.14%E -3.61%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.71%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 13:14
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -7.14%E -3.61%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.71%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 13:44
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -7.61%E -3.86%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.34%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 13:30
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.55%E -4.38%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.55%E -4.38%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 13:30
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.55%E -4.38%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -1.50%E -0.418%K -0.578%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 13:44
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.55%E -4.38%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.55%E -4.38%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:50
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.55%E -4.38%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.34%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 13:53
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.55%E -4.38%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.55%E -4.38%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.71%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:29
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.55%E -4.38%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.71%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.55%E -4.38%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.71%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.55%E -4.38%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.71%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.55%E -4.38%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.42%E -5.46%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -6.98%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 13:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.89%E -5.73%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-22 13:55
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.99%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-08-22 13:55