The School of Odds
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Wigan Athletic v Barnsley

2026-11-14 15:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wigan Athletic (Local)

Prediction 40.51%2.47fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.71%40.48%40.56%41.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.302.3546.51%43.78%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barnsley (Visit)

Prediction 32.88%3.04fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.99%32.85%32.82%34.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.772.802.9238.17%36.13%35.71%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.62%3.76fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.411%
Kelly -0.563%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.39%26.67%26.62%27.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.453.453.7030.30%28.98%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wigan Athletic (Local): 40.51%; Barnsley (Visit): 32.88%; Draw: 26.62%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.70, with an expected value of -1.52%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -1.52%E -0.411%K -0.563%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-06 11:35
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.81%EV -5.62%E -2.41%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.00%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.63%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 09:35
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.28%EV -6.02%E -2.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.02%EV -6.96%E -2.46%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-06 08:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -7.29%E -2.58%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-06 08:35
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.51%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-06 11:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-06 08:33
picklebet_au🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-06 08:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.50%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-06 08:35
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.50%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-06 09:18
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -13.86%E -5.29%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-06 09:14
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-06 09:20
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-06 09:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-06 09:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-06 09:20
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.30%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-06 08:50
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.30%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-06 08:50
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -8.86%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -12.88%E -4.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-06 08:35
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.88%E -4.95%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.23%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.50%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-06 08:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.91%E -6.00%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.50%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-06 08:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 39.38%2.54I 39.37%NM 33.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.83%16.5%2026-11-06 08:35