The School of Odds
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Stockport County FC v Wimbledon

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC

Final: Stockport County FC 2–1 Wimbledon

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stockport County FC (Local)

Prediction 74.09%1.35fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -3.43%
Kelly -15.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.23%73.94%74.19%75.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.251.2983.33%79.99%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wimbledon (Visit)

Prediction 9.62%10.39fair odd
EV +5.83%
Edge +0.530%
Kelly +0.583%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.60%9.68%9.57%10.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.509.749.5011.0011.76%10.26%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.29%6.14fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.374%
Kelly -0.449%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.19%16.38%16.25%18.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.735.756.0020.00%17.47%17.39%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stockport County FC (Local): 74.09%; Wimbledon (Visit): 9.62%; Draw: 16.29%. For Wimbledon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.39. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.64%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +5.83%E +0.530%K +0.583%G +0.034%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 14:05
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +1.02%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 19:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +1.02%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 19:49
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +1.02%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +1.02%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 19:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +1.02%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 19:49
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +1.02%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +1.02%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 19:49
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +1.02%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 14:38
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +1.02%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +1.02%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 14:40
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.13%E -6.56%K -33.89%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +1.02%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 11:45
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.02%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV +1.02%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -7.13%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 04:30
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.02%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.79%EV +1.02%E +0.097%K +0.107%G +0.001%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -7.13%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 04:30
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.95%EV -4.43%E -3.43%K -15.27%G +0.000%10.21I 9.79%NM 9.34%EV -1.77%E -0.174%K -0.192%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.71%EV -6.97%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 14:45
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -3.79%E -0.379%K -0.421%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 14:25
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -3.79%E -0.379%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -6.32%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 14:45
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.95%EV -8.13%E -6.56%K -33.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -3.79%E -0.379%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -3.87%E -0.656%K -0.790%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:40
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -8.13%E -6.56%K -33.89%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -3.79%E -0.379%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -6.32%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.79%E -0.379%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.39%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 14:45
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.79%E -0.379%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.39%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 14:39
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -3.79%E -0.379%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -6.32%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -3.79%E -0.379%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.39%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.16%EV -11.10%E -9.25%K -55.48%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -3.79%E -0.379%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.82%EV -7.13%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-31 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.38%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.59%EV -6.68%E -0.688%K -0.768%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -5.50%E -0.948%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:44
picklebet_au🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.46%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.46%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.46%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 14:40
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.32%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 14:40
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -6.32%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -6.32%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 14:45
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.39%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 14:45
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.39%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-30 15:10
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -8.13%E -6.56%K -33.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.76%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 11:48
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.97%EV -8.13%E -6.56%K -33.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.76%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -8.76%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -8.76%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-29 19:49
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -8.76%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-29 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -8.76%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-29 19:50
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -8.76%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-29 19:49
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -8.76%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-29 19:49
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -18.54%E -3.71%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -18.54%E -3.71%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.38%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -8.60%E -0.906%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -18.54%E -3.71%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 14:40
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -4.43%E -3.43%K -15.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -13.41%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.39%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -13.41%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.39%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 15:10
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -13.41%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.05%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.46%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -15.82%E -1.81%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -6.32%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 14:20
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.05%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.46%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -15.82%E -1.81%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -6.32%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.23%EV -4.43%E -3.43%K -15.27%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.83%EV -17.26%E -2.01%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.39%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.23%EV -4.43%E -3.43%K -15.27%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.83%EV -17.26%E -2.01%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.39%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.07%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.57%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.62%EV -17.26%E -2.01%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.31%EV -8.76%E -1.56%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 14:40
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -18.22%E -2.14%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.32%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.83%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.65%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.52%0.7%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.98%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.2%2026-10-31 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.98%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.2%2026-10-31 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.98%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.2%2026-10-31 14:40
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.98%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.59%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.43%1.2%2026-10-31 14:40