Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.40
assuming max odds 8.02
assuming max odds 5.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stockport County FC (Local): 68.95%; Peterborough United (Visit): 12.92%; Draw: 18.12%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.52. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.20%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -7.60%E -5.67%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -3.07%E -0.409%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV +4.20%E +0.731%K +0.885%G +0.037% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -7.60%E -5.67%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -3.07%E -0.409%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV +4.20%E +0.731%K +0.885%G +0.037% | 5.4% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.07%E -0.409%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -3.07%E -0.409%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.01%EV -7.60%E -5.67%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -6.30%E -0.869%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -8.29%E -6.23%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -3.07%E -0.409%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -8.29%E -6.23%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -3.07%E -0.409%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 13:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.29%E -6.23%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -15.99%E -2.46%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.40%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -6.30%E -0.869%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.68%EV -3.95%E -0.746%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.12%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV -3.07%E -0.409%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -4.86%E -0.925%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-26 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -15.99%E -2.46%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.86%E -0.925%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-26 13:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -4.86%E -0.925%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.86%E -0.925%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.63%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -12.76%E -1.89%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -4.86%E -0.925%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -15.99%E -2.46%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.86%E -0.925%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.29%E -6.23%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.86%E -0.925%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -9.67%E -7.38%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -4.86%E -0.925%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -10.36%E -7.97%K -34.53%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +0.808%E +0.104%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -5.76%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.39%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 8.02I 12.47%NM 11.94%EV +3.65%E +0.455%K +0.520%G +0.019% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.67%EV -7.03%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 13:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 13:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -3.07%E -0.409%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -3.07%E -0.409%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.29%E -6.23%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.29%E -6.23%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.98%EV -7.60%E -5.67%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.80%EV -14.70%E -2.23%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -11.20%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-26 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -7.60%E -5.67%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -12.76%E -1.89%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -11.20%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-26 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -7.60%E -5.67%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -12.76%E -1.89%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -11.20%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-26 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -7.60%E -5.67%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -12.76%E -1.89%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -11.20%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-26 13:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -8.29%E -6.23%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -3.07%E -0.409%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-26 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -22.46%E -3.74%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -22.46%E -3.74%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -8.29%E -6.23%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -15.99%E -2.46%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-26 13:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -8.29%E -6.23%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -15.99%E -2.46%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-26 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -8.29%E -6.23%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -15.99%E -2.46%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-26 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -8.29%E -6.23%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -15.99%E -2.46%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-26 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.42%EV -2.42%E -0.321%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.62%EV -13.38%E -2.80%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 13:57 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.29%E -6.23%K -25.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -15.99%E -2.46%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -13.92%E -2.93%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-26 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.10%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -6.30%E -0.869%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -16.64%E -3.62%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV +0.808%E +0.104%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -17.54%E -3.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.88%EV -6.22%E -4.58%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV +0.808%E +0.104%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.29%EV -17.54%E -3.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -9.53%E -1.36%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -18.45%E -4.10%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.24% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.24% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.24% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.24% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38% | 1.0% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.75% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.99% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.25% | 1.7% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |