Language:English
Stockport County FC v Barnsley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stockport County FC (Local)
Prediction 65.71%1.52fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -7.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.13%65.45%65.70%67.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.421.411.4775.19%70.67%70.92%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barnsley (Visit)
Prediction 15.32%6.53fair odd
EV +7.26%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.088%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.51%15.37%15.34%17.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.096.007.0020.00%16.41%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.97%5.27fair odd
EV -0.400%
Edge -0.076%
Kelly -0.094%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.82%19.18%18.96%21.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.744.705.2523.26%21.10%21.28%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stockport County FC (Local): 65.71%; Barnsley (Visit): 15.32%; Draw: 18.97%. For Barnsley (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.53. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +7.26%E +1.04%K +1.21%G +0.088% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 05:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +3.42%E +0.507%K +0.596%G +0.020% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 05:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -0.406%E -0.062%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 08:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -0.406%E -0.062%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 05:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -0.406%E -0.062%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 08:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -9.33%E -6.76%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -0.406%E -0.062%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -0.400%E -0.076%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 05:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.81%EV -9.33%E -6.76%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -0.406%E -0.062%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -7.99%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 05:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -0.406%E -0.062%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -0.406%E -0.062%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -12.61%E -9.48%K -38.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -0.406%E -0.062%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -8.94%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-05 05:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -1.94%E -0.303%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 08:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -1.94%E -0.303%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 08:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.55%EV -3.47%E -0.551%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -18.42%E -4.28%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 09:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.55%EV -3.47%E -0.551%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -18.42%E -4.28%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 09:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.02%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -4.24%E -0.678%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.81%EV -9.33%E -6.76%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -4.24%E -0.678%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 08:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.82%EV -6.70%E -4.72%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -4.24%E -0.678%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -14.63%E -3.25%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.38%EV -9.98%E -7.29%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -5.00%E -0.807%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.94%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.41%EV -7.15%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.26%EV -7.99%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 08:11 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -6.70%E -4.72%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.37%EV -7.30%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -7.99%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 08:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -12.73%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -12.73%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -12.73%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -12.73%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -12.73%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -12.73%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -12.73%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.92%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -12.73%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.70%E -4.72%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.70%E -4.72%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 08:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.14%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 14:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.15%EV -7.35%E -5.22%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -10.83%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 08:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.15%EV -7.35%E -5.22%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -10.83%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 08:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.73%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 08:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.73%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 08:11 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.73%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 08:11 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.73%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 08:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.73%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 08:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.73%E -2.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 08:11 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.64%E -7.82%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -8.07%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -9.89%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-05 05:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.13%EV -8.67%E -6.24%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.61%EV -11.13%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -10.83%E -2.31%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 08:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.33%EV -11.74%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.37%EV -2.87%E -0.560%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 09:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -6.70%E -4.72%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.90%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -7.04%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 08:11 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -14.20%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -17.47%E -4.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -14.20%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -17.47%E -4.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -14.20%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -17.47%E -4.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -14.20%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -17.47%E -4.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -6.04%E -4.22%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -14.20%E -2.53%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -17.47%E -4.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -8.01%E -5.72%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -23.39%E -4.68%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -9.89%E -2.08%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-05 08:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.22% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.80% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.22% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.80% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.22% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.80% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.11% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |