L’École des cotes

Stevenage v Stockport County FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Stevenage (Local)

Prévision 35.31%2.83cote équitable
EV +0.643%
Avantage +0.226%
Kelly +0.347%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.00%35.28%35.38%36.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.672.632.8540.00%37.48%38.02%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Stockport County FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.88%2.95cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.82%33.99%33.82%36.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.682.702.8640.00%37.36%37.04%34.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.81%3.25cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.444%
Kelly -0.645%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.36%30.73%30.80%32.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.023.013.2036.36%33.11%33.22%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV +0.643%E +0.226%K +0.347%G +0.002%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV +0.643%E +0.226%K +0.347%G +0.002%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 14:15
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV +0.643%E +0.226%K +0.347%G +0.002%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -1.12%E -0.401%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -1.12%E -0.401%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -1.12%E -0.401%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -1.12%E -0.401%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -1.12%E -0.401%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -1.12%E -0.401%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -1.12%E -0.401%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -1.12%E -0.401%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 06:45
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.30%E -6.12%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.30%E -6.12%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:16
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.15%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.68%EV -3.10%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.17%EV -4.81%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 12:20
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.20%E -4.28%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 18:40
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.36%E -2.00%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -7.85%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:05
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.36%E -2.00%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -7.85%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:05
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.05%EV -6.07%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -6.49%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -7.89%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:05
1xBet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.05%EV -6.07%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -6.49%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -7.89%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:05
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.14%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 15:15
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 15:05
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.14%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 08:59
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.14%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 09:00
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 18:45
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -7.13%E -2.71%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -7.13%E -2.71%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.87%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 06:18
LowVig.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -7.13%E -2.71%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.87%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 06:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.42%E -0.444%K -0.645%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 16:40
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.42%E -0.444%K -0.645%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 16:39
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 08:39
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 08:59
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:05
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 20:49
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 20:49
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 20:49
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -2.96%E -0.940%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 16:39
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -2.96%E -0.940%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 16:40
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 08:34
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 08:59
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:44
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:34
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 04:06
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 09:59
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 08:39
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-25 18:44
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -9.95%E -3.90%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.14%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:39
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.95%E -3.90%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-25 03:29
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -11.72%E -4.69%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 08:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -11.72%E -4.69%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -15.30%E -6.12%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -15.28%E -5.56%K -8.73%G +0.000%16.4%2026-02-28 09:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-28 14:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61%2.0%2026-02-28 14:06