La escuela de los momios

Stevenage v Stockport County FC

Inicio: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stevenage (Local)

Predicción 35.31%2.83momio equitativo
EV +0.643%
Ventaja +0.226%
Kelly +0.347%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.00%35.28%35.38%36.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.672.632.8540.00%37.48%38.02%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stockport County FC (Visitante)

Predicción 33.88%2.95momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.82%33.99%33.82%36.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.682.702.8640.00%37.36%37.04%34.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.81%3.25momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.444%
Kelly -0.645%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.36%30.73%30.80%32.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.013.2036.36%33.11%33.22%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV +0.643%E +0.226%K +0.347%G +0.002%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV +0.643%E +0.226%K +0.347%G +0.002%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 14:15
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV +0.643%E +0.226%K +0.347%G +0.002%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -1.12%E -0.401%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -1.12%E -0.401%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -1.12%E -0.401%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -1.12%E -0.401%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -1.12%E -0.401%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -1.12%E -0.401%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -1.12%E -0.401%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -1.12%E -0.401%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 06:45
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.30%E -6.12%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -2.89%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -15.30%E -6.12%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:16
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.15%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.68%EV -3.10%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.17%EV -4.81%E -1.56%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 12:20
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -4.65%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.20%E -4.28%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 18:40
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.36%E -2.00%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -7.85%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:05
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.36%E -2.00%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -7.85%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:05
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.05%EV -6.07%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -6.49%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -7.89%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:05
1xBet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.05%EV -6.07%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -6.49%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -7.89%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:05
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.14%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.86%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 15:15
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 15:05
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.14%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 08:59
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.14%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 09:00
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -6.42%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 18:45
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -7.13%E -2.71%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -7.13%E -2.71%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.87%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 06:18
LowVig.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 35.33%EV -7.13%E -2.71%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.87%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 06:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.42%E -0.444%K -0.645%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 16:40
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.42%E -0.444%K -0.645%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 16:39
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 08:39
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 08:59
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:05
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 20:49
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 20:49
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 20:49
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -2.96%E -0.940%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 16:39
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -2.96%E -0.940%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 16:40
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 08:34
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 08:59
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:44
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:34
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 04:06
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.86%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 09:59
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 08:39
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-25 18:44
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -9.95%E -3.90%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.14%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:39
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.95%E -3.90%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-25 03:29
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -11.72%E -4.69%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 08:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -11.72%E -4.69%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -15.30%E -6.12%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -15.28%E -5.56%K -8.73%G +0.000%16.4%2026-02-28 09:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-28 14:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61%2.0%2026-02-28 14:06