Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stevenage v Plymouth Argyle

2026-10-20 18:45 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stevenage (Local)

Prediction 33.95%2.95fair odd
EV -6.64%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -3.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.95%33.95%33.95%34.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.712.752.7537.74%36.89%36.36%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Plymouth Argyle (Visit)

Prediction 37.49%2.67fair odd
EV -6.28%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -4.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.20%37.49%37.49%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.472.502.5041.67%40.47%40.00%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.56%3.50fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.23%28.56%28.56%28.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.253.303.3031.75%30.80%30.30%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Stevenage (Local): 33.95%; Plymouth Argyle (Visit): 37.49%; Draw: 28.56%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.30, with an expected value of -5.75%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.64%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.28%E -2.51%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-13 18:49
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.64%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.28%E -2.51%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-13 18:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.64%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.28%E -2.51%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-13 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.64%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.28%E -2.51%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-13 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.64%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.28%E -2.51%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-13 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.64%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.28%E -2.51%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-13 18:54
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.64%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.28%E -2.51%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-13 18:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.64%E -2.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.28%E -2.51%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-13 18:54
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.33%E -3.09%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.28%E -2.51%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-13 18:49
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.03%E -3.79%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.20%EV -8.91%E -3.66%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-13 18:50
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.03%E -3.79%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.20%EV -8.91%E -3.66%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-13 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.03%E -3.79%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.20%EV -8.91%E -3.66%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-13 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.03%E -3.79%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -10.03%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-13 18:50
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.03%E -3.79%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -10.03%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-13 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.