The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Stevenage v Milton Keynes Dons

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:00 UTC

Final: Stevenage 0–1 Milton Keynes Dons

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stevenage (Local)

Prediction 45.85%2.18fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.57%46.02%45.71%48.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.002.022.1254.05%49.97%49.50%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)

Prediction 26.37%3.79fair odd
EV +1.52%
Edge +0.395%
Kelly +0.533%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.42%26.20%26.50%27.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.593.603.8529.41%27.89%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.78%3.60fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -0.787%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.82%27.78%27.80%28.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.353.323.5031.25%29.89%30.12%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stevenage (Local): 45.85%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 26.37%; Draw: 27.78%. For Milton Keynes Dons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.72%EV -11.52%E -5.97%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV +1.52%E +0.395%K +0.533%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -2.76%E -0.787%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:30
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.72%EV -11.52%E -5.97%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV +1.52%E +0.395%K +0.533%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -2.76%E -0.787%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.72%EV -11.52%E -5.97%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV +1.52%E +0.395%K +0.533%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -2.76%E -0.787%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:31
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.72%EV -11.52%E -5.97%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV +1.52%E +0.395%K +0.533%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -2.76%E -0.787%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:31
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.72%EV -11.52%E -5.97%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV +1.52%E +0.395%K +0.533%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -2.76%E -0.787%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:31
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.72%EV -11.52%E -5.97%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV +1.52%E +0.395%K +0.533%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -2.76%E -0.787%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.72%EV -11.52%E -5.97%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV +1.52%E +0.395%K +0.533%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -2.76%E -0.787%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.44%E -0.658%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-21 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -13.81%E -7.34%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -2.44%E -0.658%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 13:30
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -14.27%E -7.63%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -3.75%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -6.92%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:31
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -14.27%E -7.63%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -3.75%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -6.92%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:31
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -14.27%E -7.63%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -3.75%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -6.92%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:31
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.57%EV -15.18%E -8.21%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -3.75%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -6.92%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.57%EV -15.18%E -8.21%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -3.75%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -6.92%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 13:30
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.58%EV -3.26%E -1.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -3.59%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 13:45
picklebet_au🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 13:40
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 13:35
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:35
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.05%EV -6.93%E -3.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -7.20%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 13:35
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 13:35
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-21 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.29%EV -7.85%E -3.90%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.86%EV -7.20%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 13:35
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-21 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 13:40
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.68%E -4.91%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 13:40
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -12.89%E -6.78%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -5.07%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:55
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.80%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -6.13%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.63%EV -3.31%E -0.952%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 13:45
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -7.39%E -3.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -7.39%E -3.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.39%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:40
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:49
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:45
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.70%E -2.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 13:34
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.70%E -2.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.70%E -2.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.71%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 13:34
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -9.03%E -2.62%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.03%E -2.62%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 13:50
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.92%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:50
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.70%E -2.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 13:50
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.70%E -2.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 13:50
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.09%E -3.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.09%E -3.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.09%E -3.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.70%E -2.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.35%E -3.04%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.70%E -2.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-10-24 13:50
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-10-24 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-10-24 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%1.5%2026-10-24 13:55

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.