The School of Odds
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Stevenage v Mansfield Town

2026-11-14 15:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stevenage (Local)

Prediction 39.92%2.51fair odd
EV -5.00%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -3.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.45%40.05%39.92%41.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.3846.51%43.51%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mansfield Town (Visit)

Prediction 31.89%3.14fair odd
EV -5.28%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.36%31.67%31.94%32.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.892.902.9735.71%34.55%34.48%33.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.19%3.55fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.29%28.28%28.14%29.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.253.253.4032.26%30.74%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Stevenage (Local): 39.92%; Mansfield Town (Visit): 31.89%; Draw: 28.19%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -4.14%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.95%EV -5.00%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.01%EV -5.28%E -1.78%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.04%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 09:35
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.60%EV -5.80%E -2.46%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.90%EV -6.56%E -2.24%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.50%EV -7.52%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-06 08:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.20%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-06 11:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.76%EV -6.60%E -2.82%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.87%EV -6.88%E -2.36%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.37%EV -7.52%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-06 08:35
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.40%E -3.19%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 08:35
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -7.40%E -3.19%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 08:35
picklebet_au🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-06 09:35
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -8.16%E -2.83%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-06 11:34
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-06 08:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-06 08:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-06 09:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.11%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-06 09:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-06 08:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-06 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.60%E -4.06%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-06 08:35
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.11%E -3.20%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-06 11:34
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.71%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-06 09:45
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.71%E -3.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-06 08:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -14.18%E -6.60%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -5.92%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-06 08:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 39.77%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.17%16.4%2026-11-06 09:35