Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Stevenage v Doncaster Rovers

Início: 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Final: Stevenage 2–2 Doncaster Rovers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Stevenage (Local)

Previsão 39.40%2.54odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.602%
Kelly -1.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.97%39.52%39.41%42.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.142.312.352.5046.73%43.26%42.55%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 31.53%3.17odd justa
EV +4.05%
Vantagem +1.23%
Kelly +1.76%
Crescimento +0.071%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.61%31.38%31.46%32.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.002.973.3035.71%33.35%33.67%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.07%3.44odd justa
EV -4.06%
Vantagem -1.23%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.98%29.10%29.13%30.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.173.153.3033.33%31.51%31.75%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Stevenage (Local): 39.40%; Doncaster Rovers (Visitante): 31.53%; Empate: 29.07%. Para Doncaster Rovers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.17. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.05%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -12.14%E -5.44%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV +4.05%E +1.23%K +1.76%G +0.071%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -5.51%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -12.14%E -5.44%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV +4.05%E +1.23%K +1.76%G +0.071%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -5.51%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -14.51%E -6.68%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.892%E +0.279%K +0.406%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.42%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -14.51%E -6.68%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.892%E +0.279%K +0.406%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.42%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:30
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -14.51%E -6.68%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.892%E +0.279%K +0.406%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.42%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:30
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -14.51%E -6.68%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.892%E +0.279%K +0.406%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.42%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:30
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.25%EV -14.51%E -6.68%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV +0.892%E +0.279%K +0.406%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.42%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:30
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -15.69%E -7.33%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -0.684%E -0.217%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -15.69%E -7.33%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -0.684%E -0.217%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -15.69%E -7.33%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -0.684%E -0.217%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -15.69%E -7.33%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -0.684%E -0.217%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -15.69%E -7.33%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -0.684%E -0.217%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:30
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.20%EV -15.69%E -7.33%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -0.684%E -0.217%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.32%E -6.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -2.26%E -0.729%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 13:35
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -1.50%E -0.602%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.98%EV -5.10%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.52%EV -5.22%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 13:55
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -5.05%E -2.10%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.09%EV -5.10%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -9.58%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:50
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -6.23%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.06%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -4.06%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 13:35
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:53
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.23%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:40
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.23%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:35
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.23%E -2.62%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.51%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.56%EV -3.87%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.57%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -8.42%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.56%EV -3.87%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.57%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -8.42%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.53%EV -4.66%E -1.92%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -6.36%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -5.51%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 13:45
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.42%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.51%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 13:35
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.51%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -6.63%E -2.80%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.06%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 13:40
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -6.63%E -2.80%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.06%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 13:40
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.06%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.51%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:40
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.51%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:40
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.06%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 13:35
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 13:55
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 13:55
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.42%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:54
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:40
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:35
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.42%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:55
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -8.60%E -3.71%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 13:55
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -8.60%E -3.71%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:50
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:55
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.20%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.78%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.20%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.78%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.20%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.78%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.38%E -4.08%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.72%E -4.19%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.51%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-08-29 13:50