The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Sheffield Wednesday v Wimbledon

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Sheffield Wednesday 5–0 Wimbledon

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Prediction 58.12%1.72fair odd
EV -4.69%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -7.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.71%58.15%58.20%60.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.601.6465.79%62.40%62.50%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wimbledon (Visit)

Prediction 18.94%5.28fair odd
EV +0.371%
Edge +0.070%
Kelly +0.086%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.21%18.91%18.91%19.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.874.805.3021.74%20.54%20.83%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.94%4.36fair odd
EV -0.652%
Edge -0.150%
Kelly -0.196%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%22.94%22.89%23.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.044.004.3326.32%24.77%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sheffield Wednesday (Local): 58.12%; Wimbledon (Visit): 18.94%; Draw: 22.94%. For Wimbledon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.28. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.371%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -7.59%E -4.78%K -12.87%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV +0.371%E +0.070%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -11.66%E -7.67%K -22.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV +0.371%E +0.070%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-17 13:25
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.45%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.72%EV -3.04%E -0.593%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.82%EV -3.63%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 13:40
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.45%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.72%EV -3.04%E -0.593%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.82%EV -3.63%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 13:40
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.31%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.63%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -5.31%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -0.652%E -0.150%K -0.196%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 11:10
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -5.31%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -0.652%E -0.150%K -0.196%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 11:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.31%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.93%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.31%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.63%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:09
picklebet_au🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.31%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.63%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:10
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.31%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 13:10
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.31%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.93%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:54
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.31%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.93%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:53
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.31%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.93%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.31%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.93%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.31%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.63%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 13:40
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.31%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.63%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 11:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.31%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 13:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -9.34%E -5.98%K -16.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -7.20%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -9.37%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.13%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.18%EV -8.15%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.93%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 13:05
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.81%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -8.15%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:05
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:05
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:05
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:05
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -8.17%E -5.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.63%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -8.17%E -5.17%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.63%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 11:10
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 13:04
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -7.59%E -4.78%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 13:09
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -7.59%E -4.78%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 12:55
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.52%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.52%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.52%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 13:05
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.51%EV -9.29%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.93%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 13:10
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.04%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.43%E -3.99%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.04%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 13:10
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.43%E -3.99%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.04%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 13:34
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.04%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.37%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 13:10
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -10.04%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.52%E -2.70%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 13:09
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.92%E -6.40%K -18.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.04%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 12:00
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.89%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -11.66%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 13:05
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.89%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -11.66%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.89%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -11.66%E -3.03%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 13:00
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -12.89%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.81%E -3.37%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -12.89%E -2.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.81%E -3.37%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-17 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.62%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%1.7%2026-10-17 13:55