Language:English
Sheffield Wednesday v Wigan Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sheffield Wednesday (Local)
Prediction 52.67%1.90fair odd
EV -5.20%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -6.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.81%52.71%52.65%54.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.741.751.8060.24%57.48%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wigan Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 23.24%4.30fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.253%
Kelly +0.329%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.53%23.20%23.28%24.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.074.004.3526.67%24.58%25.00%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.09%4.15fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -0.909%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.05%24.09%24.07%25.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.823.804.0027.78%26.18%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sheffield Wednesday (Local): 52.67%; Wigan Athletic (Visit): 23.24%; Draw: 24.09%. For Wigan Athletic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -9.41%E -5.47%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV +1.10%E +0.253%K +0.329%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -9.41%E -5.47%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV +1.10%E +0.253%K +0.329%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -9.41%E -5.47%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV +1.10%E +0.253%K +0.329%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -9.41%E -5.47%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV +1.10%E +0.253%K +0.329%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -9.41%E -5.47%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV +1.10%E +0.253%K +0.329%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -9.41%E -5.47%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV +1.10%E +0.253%K +0.329%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -9.41%E -5.47%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV +1.10%E +0.253%K +0.329%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -8.89%E -5.14%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV +0.637%E +0.147%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -3.64%E -0.909%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.94%E -5.81%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -0.060%E -0.014%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 15:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.83%E -4.48%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -2.38%E -0.568%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 11:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.47%E -6.16%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.38%E -0.568%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 15:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -12.05%E -7.21%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -2.38%E -0.568%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -12.05%E -7.21%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -2.38%E -0.568%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -12.05%E -7.21%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -2.38%E -0.568%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -12.05%E -7.21%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -2.38%E -0.568%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -7.30%E -4.15%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -3.55%E -0.855%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.44%EV -7.97%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.59%EV -7.30%E -4.15%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.84%EV -4.01%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -3.64%E -0.909%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 06:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.51%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.76%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.55%EV -7.97%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -6.25%E -3.51%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 06:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -10.47%E -6.16%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -7.83%E -4.48%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -12.07%E -3.31%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.13%EV -12.57%E -7.57%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.13%EV -12.57%E -7.57%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.64%E -0.909%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 06:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.64%E -0.909%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 06:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.25%E -3.51%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 06:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.78%E -3.83%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 06:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.83%E -4.48%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 11:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -7.30%E -4.15%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -10.86%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 17:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -7.30%E -4.15%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -10.86%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.89%E -5.14%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.89%E -5.14%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 12:28 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.47%E -6.16%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.30%E -4.15%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -8.19%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.78%E -3.83%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.05%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -6.25%E -3.51%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -6.25%E -3.51%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.07%EV -7.30%E -4.15%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.66%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 06:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.83%E -4.48%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.86%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.83%E -4.48%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.86%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.83%E -4.48%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.86%E -2.94%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.95%EV -9.94%E -5.81%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.36%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 06:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.82%EV -5.72%E -3.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -10.52%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -7.25%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.83%E -4.48%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -11.68%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.64%E -0.909%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -5.72%E -3.20%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -11.68%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -13.27%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 23:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.09%EV -6.78%E -3.83%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -11.68%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -13.27%E -3.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 20:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -10.47%E -6.16%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -12.84%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.46%E -2.23%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 06:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.83% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |