Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sheffield Wednesday v Cambridge United

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

48%

27%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Prediction 48.22%2.07fair odd

EV -5.97%

Edge -3.06%

Kelly -6.28%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.03%48.22%48.12%48.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.891.921.921.9552.91%52.15%52.22%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cambridge United (Visit)

Prediction 26.98%3.71fair odd

EV -4.77%

Edge -1.35%

Kelly -1.89%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.80%26.98%27.03%27.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.353.423.403.5329.85%29.24%29.41%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.80%4.03fair odd

EV -5.00%

Edge -1.31%

Kelly -1.77%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.65%24.80%24.84%24.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.653.733.733.8327.40%26.79%26.85%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sheffield Wednesday (Local): 48.22%; Cambridge United (Visit): 26.98%; Draw: 24.80%. For Cambridge United (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.53, with an expected value of -4.77%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%	3.53I 28.33%NM 26.80%EV -4.77%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.83I 26.11%NM 24.70%EV -5.00%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-26 15:25
LeoVegas🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.42%E -3.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.99%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-26 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.90%E -4.14%K -8.68%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.23%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-09-26 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 48.03%EV -8.86%E -4.69%K -9.96%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -9.47%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-09-26 14:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.