Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Reading v Mansfield Town

Início: 2026-09-02 19:00 UTC

Final: Reading 5–0 Mansfield Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Reading (Local)

Previsão 46.22%2.16odd justa
EV -4.32%
Vantagem -2.09%
Kelly -4.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.98%46.35%46.13%49.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.872.012.002.0753.48%49.74%50.00%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mansfield Town (Visitante)

Previsão 27.83%3.59odd justa
EV +0.198%
Vantagem +0.055%
Kelly +0.076%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.65%27.70%27.86%28.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.343.303.6031.75%29.96%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.95%3.85odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.371%
Kelly -0.503%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.59%25.95%26.01%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.563.603.8029.41%28.13%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Reading (Local): 46.22%; Mansfield Town (Visitante): 27.83%; Empate: 25.95%. Para Mansfield Town (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.59. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.198%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -13.56%E -7.25%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 18:30
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -1.19%E -0.336%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:55
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.90%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.39%EV -2.31%E -0.657%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.71%EV -2.97%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.58%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.58%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 18:45
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.58%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.58%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:49
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -8.48%E -4.28%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -4.81%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -7.12%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 17:54
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 16:35
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 18:54
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 18:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -5.71%E -2.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.41%E -0.371%K -0.503%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:00
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 17:50
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 17:49
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -6.76%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 18:00
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.76%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.00%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.41%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.41%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:10
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.41%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:10
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.41%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.41%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.41%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:10
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.41%EV -4.32%E -2.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 18:10
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 18:10
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.24%E -2.56%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 18:09
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -6.17%E -3.04%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 16:35
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 18:04
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 18:05
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 22:19
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.19%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 17:49
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 22:20
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.90%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 16:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 18:05
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 17:50
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -11.72%E -6.13%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -12.33%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -12.33%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-02 18:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-09-02 18:55