The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Reading v Leyton Orient

Kickoff: 2026-10-21 19:00 UTC

Final: Reading 1–0 Leyton Orient

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reading (Local)

Prediction 58.63%1.71fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -7.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.44%58.74%58.58%61.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.571.581.6367.57%63.80%63.29%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leyton Orient (Visit)

Prediction 18.50%5.41fair odd
EV +6.37%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.085%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.41%18.37%18.53%19.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.145.005.7521.28%19.47%20.00%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.87%4.37fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.385%
Kelly -0.501%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.91%22.90%22.89%24.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.074.104.3026.32%24.59%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reading (Local): 58.63%; Leyton Orient (Visit): 18.50%; Draw: 22.87%. For Leyton Orient (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.41. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -10.30%E -6.73%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV +6.37%E +1.11%K +1.34%G +0.085%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -1.65%E -0.385%K -0.501%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -10.30%E -6.73%K -19.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV +6.37%E +1.11%K +1.34%G +0.085%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -1.65%E -0.385%K -0.501%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 18:45
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -12.05%E -8.04%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +1.74%E +0.317%K +0.387%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-21 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -12.05%E -8.04%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +1.74%E +0.317%K +0.387%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-21 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -12.05%E -8.04%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +1.74%E +0.317%K +0.387%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-21 18:45
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -12.05%E -8.04%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +1.74%E +0.317%K +0.387%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-21 18:45
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -12.05%E -8.04%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +1.74%E +0.317%K +0.387%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-21 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.95%E -5.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.06%EV +0.818%E +0.150%K +0.184%G +0.002%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.72%EV -10.35%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-21 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -12.05%E -8.04%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -0.107%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-21 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -12.64%E -8.48%K -25.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -0.107%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-21 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -12.64%E -8.48%K -25.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -0.107%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-21 18:45
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -12.64%E -8.48%K -25.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -0.107%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-21 18:45
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.76%EV -6.78%E -4.26%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.40%EV -0.662%E -0.123%K -0.151%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.84%EV -10.35%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-21 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.78%EV -4.43%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.91%EV -1.03%E -0.193%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.31%EV -6.00%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-21 18:45
BetUS🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.75%EV -4.43%E -2.72%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.90%EV -1.03%E -0.193%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-21 18:54
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -1.96%E -0.369%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -10.80%E -2.77%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-21 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -13.23%E -8.94%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -1.96%E -0.369%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-21 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -13.23%E -8.94%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -1.96%E -0.369%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-21 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -7.36%E -4.66%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -2.88%E -0.549%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-21 18:50
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.95%E -5.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.88%E -0.549%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 18:44
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.95%E -5.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.88%E -0.549%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -12.05%E -8.04%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -3.81%E -0.732%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-21 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -5.61%E -3.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -5.66%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-21 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -5.61%E -3.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -5.66%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-21 18:45
picklebet_au🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-21 18:35
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.61%E -3.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-21 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -5.61%E -3.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-21 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.36%E -4.66%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 18:49
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.95%E -5.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-21 18:49
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -6.78%E -4.26%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-21 18:49
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -8.54%E -5.47%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-21 18:50
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -10.80%E -2.77%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-21 18:50
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.12%EV -6.78%E -4.26%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -9.66%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-21 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -7.36%E -4.66%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-21 18:45
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.95%E -5.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-21 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.95%E -5.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-21 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.09%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 18:50
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.09%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.09%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.09%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -8.54%E -5.47%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-21 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.95%E -5.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.51%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.80%E -2.77%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.87%EV -7.36%E -4.66%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -9.36%E -1.91%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-21 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.09%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -9.36%E -1.91%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95%EV -7.37%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-21 18:55
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.09%EV -6.19%E -3.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -9.36%E -1.91%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95%EV -7.37%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-21 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -5.61%E -3.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.21%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-21 18:45
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -5.61%E -3.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -11.21%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -12.13%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-21 18:45
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.02%E -3.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -12.13%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-21 18:45
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -7.36%E -4.66%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -12.13%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.80%E -2.77%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-21 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.12%E -5.89%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -12.13%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.09%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-21 18:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -7.95%E -5.06%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -13.06%E -2.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.52%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-21 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-10-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-10-21 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-10-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.33%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-10-21 18:50
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-10-21 18:50