The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Reading v Barnsley

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:00 UTC

Final: Reading 2–1 Barnsley

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reading (Local)

Prediction 58.52%1.71fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -5.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.53%58.54%58.47%60.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.571.6566.67%63.37%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barnsley (Visit)

Prediction 19.99%5.00fair odd
EV -0.036%
Edge -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.40%19.96%20.01%21.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.704.725.0023.81%21.27%21.16%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.49%4.65fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -0.733%
Kelly -0.942%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%21.50%21.52%22.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.304.304.5025.00%23.27%23.26%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reading (Local): 58.52%; Barnsley (Visit): 19.99%; Draw: 21.49%. For Barnsley (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.002. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.000, with an expected value of -0.036%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.17%EV -3.45%E -2.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.21%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.62%EV -4.59%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 13:50
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -5.20%E -3.21%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 13:45
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.79%E -3.59%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -3.30%E -0.733%K -0.942%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.79%E -3.59%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -3.30%E -0.733%K -0.942%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -5.79%E -3.59%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.03%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -5.45%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 13:55
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.09%EV -5.79%E -3.59%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.16%EV -7.23%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:35
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -5.79%E -3.59%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.45%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 13:34
picklebet_au🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.21%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -4.03%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.30%E -0.733%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.30%E -0.733%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.30%E -0.733%K -0.942%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 13:45
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -3.30%E -0.733%K -0.942%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.45%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 13:35
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.45%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 13:35
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:50
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -6.37%E -3.98%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.55%EV -6.96%E -4.38%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -6.03%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 13:35
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.00%EV -6.96%E -4.38%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 13:55
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.40%EV -7.54%E -4.77%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -0.036%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.23%EV -7.54%E -4.77%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -4.03%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.45%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:31
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -7.54%E -4.77%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.45%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 13:45
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.82%EV -7.54%E -4.77%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 13:50
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.71%EV -7.54%E -4.77%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -2.04%E -0.415%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -10.82%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.71%EV -7.54%E -4.77%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -2.04%E -0.415%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -10.82%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 13:50
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -4.03%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -3.30%E -0.733%K -0.942%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 13:50
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -4.03%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -3.30%E -0.733%K -0.942%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 13:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.036%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 13:20
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.036%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.036%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.036%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 13:20
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.036%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.036%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.59%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 13:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 13:35
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -3.30%E -0.733%K -0.942%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.89%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -5.45%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.83%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -8.67%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 13:45
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 13:45
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.63%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.45%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:45
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -14.04%E -3.51%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -14.04%E -3.51%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -14.04%E -3.51%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.04%EV -8.71%E -5.59%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.45%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.20%EV -8.71%E -5.59%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 13:45
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.14%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -8.67%E -2.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -6.95%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -4.03%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -11.89%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 13:20
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -16.03%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 13:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.83%EV -9.88%E -6.42%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -11.89%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.83%EV -9.88%E -6.42%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -11.89%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.83%EV -9.88%E -6.42%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -11.89%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 13:20
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.99%EV -10.47%E -6.84%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -11.89%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.99%EV -10.47%E -6.84%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -11.89%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 13:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -12.22%E -8.15%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -2.04%E -0.415%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.74%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-10-24 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-10-24 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-10-24 13:50
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-10-24 13:50
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.5%2026-10-24 13:50

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