L’École des cotesFrançais
Port Vale v Bradford City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Port Vale (Local)
Prévision 32.47%3.08cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.82%32.43%32.58%33.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.872.892.9537.04%34.89%34.60%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Bradford City (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.10%2.56cote équitable
EV -4.98%
Avantage -2.05%
Kelly -3.48%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.61%38.99%39.08%39.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.372.382.4344.44%42.14%42.02%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.43%3.52cote équitable
EV -5.05%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.68%28.57%28.34%29.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.213.203.3433.33%31.18%31.25%29.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -4.21%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -4.98%E -2.05%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -4.21%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -4.98%E -2.05%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -4.21%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.71%EV -4.98%E -2.05%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.74%EV -5.37%E -2.22%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.93%EV -7.90%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
| Unibet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.94%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 20:01 |
| betPARX | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.94%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 20:01 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.94%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.94%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.94%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.94%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Casumo | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.94%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.94%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.94%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -10.46%E -3.32%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -8.11%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -5.05%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 11:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -6.94%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.15%E -2.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.15%E -2.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.11%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 03:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -8.89%E -3.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -8.89%E -3.82%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.15%E -2.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.15%E -2.56%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 03:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.06%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 19:43 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-04 08:39 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.94%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -14.72%E -4.91%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.06%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -11.88%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-04 08:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.13% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 38.78% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 29.09% | 16.1% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |