Language:English
Plymouth Argyle v Wimbledon
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Plymouth Argyle (Local)
Prediction 61.71%1.62fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -5.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.29%61.61%61.68%63.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.501.5769.44%66.21%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wimbledon (Visit)
Prediction 16.40%6.10fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.265%
Kelly -0.319%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.26%16.42%16.45%17.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.625.606.0019.23%17.80%17.86%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.89%4.57fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -0.842%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.15%21.97%21.86%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.164.204.4025.64%24.04%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 61.71%; Wimbledon (Visit): 16.40%; Draw: 21.89%. For Wimbledon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.00, with an expected value of -1.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -3.11%E -1.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -9.79%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -3.11%E -1.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -9.79%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -3.73%E -2.39%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.79%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -3.73%E -2.39%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.79%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -3.73%E -2.39%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.79%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -3.73%E -2.39%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.79%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -3.73%E -2.39%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.79%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -3.73%E -2.39%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -9.79%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.59%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.69%E -0.990%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.69%E -0.990%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.79%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 07:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.29%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.45%EV -14.71%E -2.83%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.29%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.45%EV -14.71%E -2.83%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.29%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.45%EV -14.71%E -2.83%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.48%EV -6.35%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%EV -4.80%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.51%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -9.79%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -4.80%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.15%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.99%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 07:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.15%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.99%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 07:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.25%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -11.43%E -2.12%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 06:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.79%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -12.46%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.20%EV -6.81%E -4.51%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -9.79%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.61%EV -6.81%E -4.51%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -14.71%E -2.83%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.61%EV -6.81%E -4.51%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -14.71%E -2.83%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -14.65%E -3.76%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -7.43%E -4.95%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -1.59%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.71%E -0.842%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.43%E -4.95%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -1.59%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 17:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -7.43%E -4.95%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.07%EV -4.55%E -0.781%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 12:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -7.43%E -4.95%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.69%E -0.990%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -7.43%E -4.95%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -3.23%E -0.548%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -11.37%E -2.81%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -7.43%E -4.95%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -3.23%E -0.548%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -11.37%E -2.81%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.43%E -4.95%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.79%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 15:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.43%E -4.95%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.87%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.46%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-27 05:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.43%E -4.95%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -8.15%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 04:46 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.43%E -4.95%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -8.15%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 04:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.43%E -4.95%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -5.69%E -0.990%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.46%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-27 05:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.43%E -4.95%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -5.69%E -0.990%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.46%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-27 05:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.43%E -4.95%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -5.69%E -0.990%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.46%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-27 05:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.43%E -4.95%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.79%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.43%E -4.95%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.79%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.27%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.43%E -4.95%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -14.71%E -2.83%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 06:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.46%EV -8.05%E -5.40%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -4.87%E -0.840%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -8.05%E -5.40%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -5.69%E -0.990%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -6.99%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.05%E -5.40%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -8.15%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 04:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.05%E -5.40%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -8.15%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 04:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -8.66%E -5.85%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.59%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -3.71%E -0.842%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 17:06 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -8.66%E -5.85%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -5.69%E -0.990%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.11%EV -9.28%E -6.31%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -1.59%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.43%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.83%EV -10.52%E -7.25%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -6.51%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 11:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -10.52%E -7.25%K -23.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -5.69%E -0.990%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -8.08%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 14:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -11.13%E -7.73%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -1.59%E -0.265%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -5.24%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.13%E -7.73%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.79%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.46%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-03 17:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.26% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.67% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.26% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.67% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.26% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.67% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 14:00 |