Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Plymouth Argyle v Wimbledon

2026-10-10 11:30 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Prediction 63.58%1.57fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -3.09%
Kelly -9.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.44%63.44%63.58%64.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.38%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wimbledon (Visit)

Prediction 15.26%6.55fair odd
EV -0.824%
Edge -0.127%
Kelly -0.150%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.44%15.23%15.26%15.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.086.006.5017.39%16.44%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.17%4.72fair odd
EV -4.75%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.51%21.34%21.17%22.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.244.254.5025.00%23.61%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 63.58%; Wimbledon (Visit): 15.26%; Draw: 21.17%. For Wimbledon (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.55. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.50, with an expected value of -0.824%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.93%EV -4.64%E -3.09%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -0.824%E -0.127%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -0.824%E -0.127%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -0.824%E -0.127%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.49%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.45%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -7.92%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 17:34
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.45%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -10.04%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-26 18:40
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.67%EV -7.82%E -5.39%K -17.37%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 14.61%EV -5.10%E -0.819%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -15.33%E -3.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-26 18:47
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.45%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -4.75%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-26 18:44
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.45%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.33%E -3.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-26 18:39
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.45%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.33%E -3.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-26 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.45%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.33%E -3.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-26 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.45%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.33%E -3.83%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-26 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -8.45%E -5.87%K -19.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -13.22%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-26 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -9.09%E -6.35%K -21.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -8.45%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -8.98%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-26 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -8.45%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -8.35%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-26 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -10.99%E -7.85%K -27.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -11.10%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-26 18:46
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.