The School of Odds
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Plymouth Argyle v Reading

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 12:30 UTC

Final: Plymouth Argyle 0–0 Reading

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Prediction 36.00%2.78fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.79%36.03%36.06%37.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.552.7241.67%39.14%39.22%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Reading (Visit)

Prediction 38.20%2.62fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.02%38.15%38.13%39.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.432.442.5042.55%41.11%40.98%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.81%3.88fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.511%
Kelly -0.693%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.60%25.82%25.81%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.603.603.8029.41%27.79%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 36.00%; Reading (Visit): 38.20%; Draw: 25.81%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.52%EV -2.09%E -0.767%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.83%EV -3.49%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-31 12:15
picklebet_au🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -2.81%E -1.04%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.81%E -1.04%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 12:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -2.81%E -1.04%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 12:15
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -2.81%E -1.04%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 12:04
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -2.81%E -1.04%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 12:04
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 12:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 12:15
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -4.61%E -1.74%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -5.33%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 12:15
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.69%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 12:04
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.69%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.56%E -3.13%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 12:15
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.69%E -2.17%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.56%E -3.13%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 12:14
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 12:14
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.90%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.89%EV -3.23%E -0.862%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 12:19
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 12:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 12:15
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 12:04
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 12:15
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 11:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.41%E -2.46%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.14%EV -8.71%E -3.64%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 12:15
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.32%EV -7.85%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.27%EV -7.18%E -2.96%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.41%EV -5.55%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 11:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.32%EV -7.85%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.27%EV -7.18%E -2.96%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.41%EV -5.55%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 11:35
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.21%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.21%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 11:35
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.21%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 11:35
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -8.21%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 12:15
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.21%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -10.24%E -4.36%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 12:15
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.21%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 12:14
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.21%E -3.22%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 12:14
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.81%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 11:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.81%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 11:55
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.81%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.81%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.81%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.81%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 12:00
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.81%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.94%E -0.511%K -0.693%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 11:59
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 12:04
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 11:45
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 11:45
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.01%E -4.00%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.68%E -2.77%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.46%EV -12.52%E -5.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -13.60%E -5.67%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 12:15
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -13.60%E -5.67%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -13.60%E -5.67%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 11:55
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -13.60%E -5.67%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 12:00
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -13.60%E -5.67%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -13.60%E -5.67%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 11:55
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -13.60%E -5.67%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-10-31 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-10-31 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-10-31 12:20
Matchbook◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.06%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-10-31 12:15
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.34%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-10-31 12:15

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