Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Plymouth Argyle v Huddersfield Town

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Plymouth Argyle 0–2 Huddersfield Town

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Prediction 41.07%2.43fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.945%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.33%41.08%40.95%43.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.282.3847.62%43.85%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Huddersfield Town (Visit)

Prediction 32.94%3.04fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.732%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.38%32.92%32.97%34.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.802.9738.46%35.88%35.71%33.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.99%3.85fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.325%
Kelly -0.441%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.72%26.00%26.07%27.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.573.603.8029.41%28.03%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 41.07%; Huddersfield Town (Visit): 32.94%; Draw: 25.99%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -2.25%E -0.945%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -11.07%E -4.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -2.25%E -0.945%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -11.07%E -4.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:30
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -2.25%E -0.945%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -11.07%E -4.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -2.25%E -0.945%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -11.07%E -4.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -2.25%E -0.945%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -11.07%E -4.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -2.25%E -0.945%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -11.07%E -4.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:30
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -2.25%E -0.945%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -11.07%E -4.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -2.25%E -0.945%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -11.07%E -4.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:35
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.50%EV -4.71%E -2.03%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.41%EV -2.18%E -0.732%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 13:40
BetUS🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.50%EV -4.71%E -2.03%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.41%EV -2.18%E -0.732%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.09%EV -4.09%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 13:35
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.44%EV -5.12%E -2.22%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.55%EV -5.47%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -10.07%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 13:35
picklebet_au🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.48%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 13:35
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.53%E -0.676%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.83%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -5.80%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -5.80%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.13%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:34
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.13%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:30
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 13:40
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.42%E -3.43%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 13:35
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.35%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.41%EV -13.37%E -5.09%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -10.33%E -2.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 13:30
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.35%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.41%EV -13.37%E -5.09%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -10.33%E -2.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.35%EV -5.54%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.41%EV -13.37%E -5.09%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -10.33%E -2.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.61%EV -5.95%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.52%EV -5.80%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.88%EV -10.07%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 13:33
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -6.36%E -2.79%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -6.36%E -2.79%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -14.36%E -5.52%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -10.33%E -2.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:35
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -6.36%E -2.79%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -14.36%E -5.52%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -10.33%E -2.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 13:34
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.14%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.83%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:39
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.14%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.83%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:38
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -1.23%E -0.325%K -0.441%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -2.53%E -0.676%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:40
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.83%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.83%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 13:40
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.83%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 13:40
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.14%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 13:40
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 13:34
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.13%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:45
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.13%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -10.33%E -2.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.13%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -10.33%E -2.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 13:45
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 13:40
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -9.42%E -3.43%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.73%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 13:40
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 13:35
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 13:35
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.63%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.80%EV -8.82%E -3.97%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -9.42%E -3.43%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -10.33%E -2.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:40
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -2.53%E -0.676%K -0.921%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 13:45
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.77%E -2.78%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 13:40
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.07%E -4.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.03%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -4.48%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.43%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-10-17 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-10-17 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-10-17 13:45
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-10-17 13:50
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%1.7%2026-10-17 13:45