Language:English
Plymouth Argyle v Burton Albion
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Plymouth Argyle (Local)
Prediction 62.12%1.61fair odd
EV -4.95%
Edge -3.24%
Kelly -9.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.37%62.08%62.14%64.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.501.5370.42%66.87%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burton Albion (Visit)
Prediction 16.41%6.09fair odd
EV +1.77%
Edge +0.286%
Kelly +0.340%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 6.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.83%16.44%16.32%18.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.675.756.2020.00%17.63%17.39%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.46%4.66fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.612%
Kelly -0.785%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.23%21.48%21.54%22.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.284.304.5325.00%23.39%23.26%22.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 62.12%; Burton Albion (Visit): 16.41%; Draw: 21.46%. For Burton Albion (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.77%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -11.79%E -8.30%K -28.06%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV +1.77%E +0.286%K +0.340%G +0.006% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -3.42%E -0.759%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-26 12:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -1.51%E -0.252%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -5.56%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-26 09:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -1.51%E -0.252%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -5.56%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-26 09:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -1.51%E -0.252%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.42%E -0.759%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -1.51%E -0.252%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.56%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -8.06%E -5.45%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.51%E -0.252%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.56%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 12:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -1.51%E -0.252%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -7.06%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-26 12:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.90%EV -5.57%E -3.67%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 15.99%EV -1.84%E -0.308%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.11%EV -2.77%E -0.612%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -3.15%E -0.535%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -13.07%E -3.23%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -3.15%E -0.535%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -13.07%E -3.23%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.07%EV -4.47%E -0.768%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -7.06%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -4.80%E -0.827%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.71%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -4.80%E -0.827%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.71%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 13:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -4.80%E -0.827%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.71%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -4.80%E -0.827%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.71%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -4.80%E -0.827%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.71%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 13:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -4.80%E -0.827%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.71%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -4.80%E -0.827%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.71%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -4.80%E -0.827%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.71%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 13:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.46%EV -7.44%E -4.99%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -4.80%E -0.827%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.06%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-26 13:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -6.20%E -4.10%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.62%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -3.42%E -0.759%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-26 11:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -5.62%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.56%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -5.62%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.56%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 12:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -5.62%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -5.56%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 12:43 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -7.44%E -4.99%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -5.62%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.78%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.62%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -12.00%E -2.93%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -5.62%E -0.977%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -5.56%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -8.08%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -12.00%E -2.93%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -5.57%E -3.67%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -3.42%E -0.759%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.56%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 11:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.56%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 11:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -7.06%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -4.95%E -3.24%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -7.06%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 11:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.06%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.71%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -5.57%E -3.67%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -14.15%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 11:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -8.06%E -5.45%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -8.78%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.15%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.15%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.15%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.15%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.54%E -7.32%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -3.42%E -0.759%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-26 12:47 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.51%EV -8.68%E -5.90%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -12.00%E -2.93%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-26 13:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.51%EV -8.68%E -5.90%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -12.00%E -2.93%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-26 13:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.51%EV -8.68%E -5.90%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -12.00%E -2.93%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-26 13:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -12.00%E -2.93%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-26 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -9.92%E -6.84%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -9.72%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -12.00%E -2.93%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-26 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -5.57%E -3.67%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -11.36%E -2.10%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -8.78%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -5.57%E -3.67%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -11.36%E -2.10%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -8.78%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 11:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -8.06%E -5.45%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.39%EV -14.64%E -2.82%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -9.85%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.82%E -4.54%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -17.93%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.06%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-26 11:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 13:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 13:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.3% | 2026-09-26 13:55 |