Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Peterborough United v Rotherham United

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Peterborough United (Local)

Prediction 43.88%2.28fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.74%44.01%43.83%45.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.102.2050.00%47.25%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rotherham United (Visit)

Prediction 30.95%3.23fair odd
EV -0.962%
Edge -0.301%
Kelly -0.437%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.19%30.82%31.00%31.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.882.992.983.2034.72%33.46%33.61%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.17%3.97fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.470%
Kelly -0.632%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.99%25.17%25.17%27.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.663.703.9032.26%27.32%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peterborough United (Local): 43.88%; Rotherham United (Visit): 30.95%; Draw: 25.17%. For Rotherham United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -0.962%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:25
LeoVegas🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -4.78%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -4.78%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.29%EV -4.78%E -2.20%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:25
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.77%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.55%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -1.83%E -0.470%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 19:30
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.60%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:35
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:31
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:20
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.14%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.13%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:30
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.14%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.13%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:25
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.14%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.13%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.14%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.13%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.14%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.13%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:25
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.14%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.13%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:25
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.14%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -8.13%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:25
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -6.10%E -2.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.13%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:25
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -6.10%E -2.85%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.38%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.13%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:25
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 19:35
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:20
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:34
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.13%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:31
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.13%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:35
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 19:31
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:25
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:35
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:25
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.85%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -8.29%E -3.97%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -4.68%E -1.52%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -6.36%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:40
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -8.73%E -4.20%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 19:40
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -8.73%E -4.20%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 19:40
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.15%EV -9.17%E -4.43%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.86%EV -3.13%E -1.000%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.99%EV -5.86%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -0.962%E -0.301%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:40
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 19:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:39
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -8.13%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:30
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.05%E -4.90%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 19:40
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -12.24%E -6.12%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-17 19:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -12.24%E -6.12%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -21.97%E -7.09%K -10.46%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-17 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.61%2.9%2026-03-17 19:40