The School of Odds
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Peterborough United v Oxford United

2026-11-14 15:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Peterborough United (Local)

Prediction 35.65%2.81fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.583%
Kelly -0.914%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.44%35.48%35.65%36.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.542.502.7640.00%39.41%40.00%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oxford United (Visit)

Prediction 36.83%2.71fair odd
EV -4.97%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.26%36.78%36.83%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.502.502.5842.02%40.01%40.00%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.52%3.63fair odd
EV -0.935%
Edge -0.260%
Kelly -0.360%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.12%27.74%27.52%28.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.393.383.6030.77%29.50%29.59%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Peterborough United (Local): 35.65%; Oxford United (Visit): 36.83%; Draw: 27.52%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -0.935%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -1.61%E -0.583%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.84%EV -4.97%E -1.93%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.72%EV -8.92%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-06 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -7.31%E -2.81%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.74%EV -6.81%E -2.69%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.50%EV -6.99%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-06 09:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -9.10%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.08%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -0.935%E -0.260%K -0.360%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-06 12:35
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.88%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-06 12:35
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.88%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-06 12:50
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.88%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.76%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-06 08:35
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.88%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-06 08:35
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.88%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-06 09:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.88%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-06 09:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.88%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.92%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-06 09:10
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -10.88%E -4.35%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -12.34%E -5.18%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-06 12:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.