Language:English
Peterborough United v Notts County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Peterborough United (Local)
Prediction 42.89%2.33fair odd
EV -5.63%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -4.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.30%42.88%42.92%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.162.152.2047.62%46.22%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Notts County (Visit)
Prediction 31.08%3.22fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%31.02%31.15%31.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.003.043.1034.48%33.32%32.89%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.03%3.84fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -1.000%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.54%26.11%25.93%27.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.493.503.7029.85%28.68%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peterborough United (Local): 42.89%; Notts County (Visit): 31.08%; Draw: 26.03%. For Notts County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -3.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.63%E -2.56%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 10:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.25%EV -6.06%E -2.77%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.16%EV -5.52%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -6.49%E -2.98%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -8.32%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.25%EV -7.35%E -3.40%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.94%EV -6.14%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.81%EV -5.78%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-26 15:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -3.66%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-28 14:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.87%E -3.40%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-26 14:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -8.21%E -3.84%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.81%EV -6.14%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.71%EV -5.78%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-26 14:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.30%EV -8.21%E -3.84%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.32%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -12.81%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.30%EV -8.21%E -3.84%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.32%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -12.81%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.30%EV -8.21%E -3.84%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.32%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -12.81%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.68%EV -8.64%E -4.05%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.87%E -3.40%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.30%EV -9.07%E -4.28%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -9.87%E -3.40%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -12.81%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.30%EV -9.07%E -4.28%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -9.87%E -3.40%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -12.81%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -9.92%E -4.73%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -8.32%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-27 00:26 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.