The School of Odds
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Peterborough United v Luton

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC

Final: Peterborough United 0–2 Luton

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Peterborough United (Local)

Prediction 29.16%3.43fair odd
EV -0.860%
Edge -0.253%
Kelly -0.358%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.38%29.07%29.25%30.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.11%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Luton (Visit)

Prediction 46.58%2.15fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.68%46.60%46.60%48.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.981.982.1054.05%50.52%50.38%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.26%4.12fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -0.817%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.25%24.32%24.14%25.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.803.804.0227.78%26.29%26.32%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peterborough United (Local): 29.16%; Luton (Visit): 46.58%; Draw: 24.26%. For Peterborough United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.860%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -0.860%E -0.253%K -0.358%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 04:30
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -2.32%E -0.692%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.05%EV -8.70%E -4.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.17%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -2.32%E -0.692%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.17%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:30
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -2.32%E -0.692%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.17%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -2.32%E -0.692%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.17%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:30
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -2.32%E -0.692%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.17%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -2.32%E -0.692%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.17%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -2.32%E -0.692%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.17%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:30
1xBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.19%E -0.962%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.91%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -5.38%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 04:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.78%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -2.95%E -0.738%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 04:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -3.78%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 04:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -3.78%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 04:20
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -3.78%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -7.77%E -3.93%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -10.23%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 04:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -3.78%E -1.14%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -13.83%E -7.47%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.23%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 14:45
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -5.23%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -7.77%E -3.93%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.59%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 05:10
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -5.23%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.23%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 14:44
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -5.23%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.23%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 14:45
Pinnacle🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.12%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.90%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.98%EV -2.47%E -0.614%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-31 14:45
picklebet_au🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -4.98%E -2.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -4.98%E -2.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:45
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.38%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 14:38
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.38%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 14:40
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -5.91%E -2.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 14:45
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.95%E -0.738%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 14:45
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -5.38%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 04:20
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -10.23%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 14:45
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.39%EV -9.64%E -4.97%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -6.59%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 05:09
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 14:45
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 04:20
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -11.03%E -5.78%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -5.38%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 04:16
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -11.03%E -5.78%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-31 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -11.50%E -6.05%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 14:30
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.74%EV -11.96%E -6.33%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 14:30
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.74%EV -11.96%E -6.33%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 14:30
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -12.43%E -6.61%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.69%E -2.09%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -12.43%E -6.61%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 14:30
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.38%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.50%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.97%EV -5.86%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 14:44
Neds🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -10.23%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:45
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -12.66%E -3.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:45
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -8.15%E -2.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -12.66%E -3.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:45
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 14:45
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 14:45
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -9.02%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 14:45
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -12.66%E -3.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -12.66%E -3.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -12.66%E -3.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 14:45
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.61%E -3.10%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -12.90%E -6.90%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.80%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 06:54
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -11.07%E -3.63%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.50%EV -7.31%E -3.67%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -11.44%E -3.14%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 14:45
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -12.52%E -4.17%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.23%E -2.77%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.5%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.13%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%2.5%2026-10-31 14:45
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-10-31 14:45

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