The School of Odds
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Peterborough United v Luton

2026-10-31 15:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Peterborough United (Local)

Prediction 26.68%3.75fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.14%26.69%26.70%28.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.473.483.6030.30%28.78%28.78%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Luton (Visit)

Prediction 49.75%2.01fair odd
EV -4.98%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -5.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.28%49.66%49.70%50.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.851.9155.56%53.88%53.91%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.58%4.24fair odd
EV +0.195%
Edge +0.046%
Kelly +0.060%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.17%23.64%23.60%24.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.903.954.2526.67%25.64%25.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Peterborough United (Local): 26.68%; Luton (Visit): 49.75%; Draw: 23.58%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.24. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.25, producing a positive expected value of +0.195%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.92%EV -7.96%E -4.30%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV +0.195%E +0.046%K +0.060%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -5.48%E -2.88%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.34%E -0.815%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 18:20
1xBet🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 26.64%EV -6.37%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -7.47%E -4.01%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.09%EV -4.52%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 18:31
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -6.10%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.58%EV -8.46%E -4.60%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.98%EV -4.52%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.97%E -3.73%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 18:20
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -5.48%E -2.88%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 18:20
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.96%E -4.90%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 18:20
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.45%E -5.81%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 17:38
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.47%E -3.44%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.47%E -3.44%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:15
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.47%E -3.44%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.47%E -3.44%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:15
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.47%E -3.44%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.47%E -3.44%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.47%E -3.44%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 15:15
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.02%EV -6.97%E -3.73%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 18:20
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -10.45%E -5.81%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.06%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 17:54
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -6.47%E -3.44%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 18:20
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.96%E -4.30%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.96%E -4.30%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.96%E -4.30%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 18:20
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.96%E -4.30%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.96%E -4.90%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-24 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -4.98%E -2.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 17:14
picklebet_au🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.48%E -2.88%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 15:15
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -9.46%E -5.20%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -9.46%E -5.20%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 15:15
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -9.46%E -5.20%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 15:15
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.82%EV -9.95%E -5.50%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.82%EV -9.95%E -5.50%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.