The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Oxford United v Wigan Athletic

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 18:45 UTC

Final: Oxford United 2–1 Wigan Athletic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oxford United (Local)

Prediction 53.28%1.88fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -5.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.90%53.35%53.31%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.741.751.8062.50%57.31%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wigan Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 21.50%4.65fair odd
EV +2.12%
Edge +0.447%
Kelly +0.567%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.20%21.39%21.57%22.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.314.284.7525.00%23.18%23.39%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.22%3.97fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -0.890%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.39%25.26%25.12%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.673.703.8328.57%27.28%27.03%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oxford United (Local): 53.28%; Wigan Athletic (Visit): 21.50%; Draw: 25.22%. For Wigan Athletic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.65. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.18%EV +2.12%E +0.447%K +0.567%G +0.012%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.03%EV -3.41%E -0.890%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-20 18:40
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.48%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.36%EV +1.26%E +0.269%K +0.341%G +0.004%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.17%EV -3.91%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-20 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -8.89%E -5.20%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV +1.05%E +0.223%K +0.284%G +0.003%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.41%EV -14.75%E -9.22%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV +1.05%E +0.223%K +0.284%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-20 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.25%E -0.722%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.25%E -0.722%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.25%E -0.722%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -7.82%E -4.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -3.25%E -0.722%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-20 18:40
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -7.82%E -4.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -3.25%E -0.722%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-20 18:39
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -9.42%E -5.54%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.25%E -0.722%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-20 18:35
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.42%E -5.54%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.25%E -0.722%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -11.02%E -6.60%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -3.25%E -0.722%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-20 18:40
picklebet_au🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:25
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:25
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -9.42%E -5.54%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-20 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -8.36%E -4.86%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-20 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.36%E -4.86%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 18:20
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.36%E -4.86%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -6.48%E -1.49%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-20 18:25
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -6.91%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.42%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -6.91%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-20 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -7.55%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 18:25
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -7.55%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-20 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.55%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-20 18:30
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.63%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:20
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.63%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.63%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.63%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.63%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:20
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.63%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -4.63%E -2.59%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -8.63%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -5.69%E -3.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.63%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-20 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-20 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.16%E -2.90%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.56%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-20 18:16
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.06%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-20 18:25
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 18:28
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.82%E -4.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-20 18:25
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:30
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.36%E -4.86%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-20 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -9.42%E -5.54%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-20 18:25
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.94%EV -4.10%E -2.28%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.37%EV -10.13%E -2.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.69%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -6.23%E -3.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -11.85%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-20 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.09%EV -6.76%E -3.86%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -11.85%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-20 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.94%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-20 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.94%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-20 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.94%EV -7.29%E -4.19%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-20 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -7.82%E -4.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-20 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -7.82%E -4.52%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-20 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.9%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.9%2026-10-20 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.9%2026-10-20 18:40
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.9%2026-10-20 18:35
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.99%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.92%1.6%2026-10-20 18:40