The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Oxford United v Stockport County FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 19:45 UTC

Final: Oxford United 1–0 Stockport County FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oxford United (Local)

Prediction 27.25%3.67fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.372%
Kelly -0.514%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.87%27.23%27.32%28.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.353.6231.25%29.72%29.85%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stockport County FC (Visit)

Prediction 47.65%2.10fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.56%47.67%47.63%50.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.961.952.0555.56%51.00%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.10%3.98fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.83%25.09%25.06%26.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.703.8029.41%27.39%27.03%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oxford United (Local): 27.25%; Stockport County FC (Visit): 47.65%; Draw: 25.10%. For Oxford United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.62, with an expected value of -1.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.54%EV -1.35%E -0.372%K -0.514%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.04%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.42%EV -5.13%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-27 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -1.89%E -0.526%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.56%E -3.90%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -1.89%E -0.526%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -7.56%E -3.90%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 19:39
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 19:20
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 18:50
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 19:25
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 18:50
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.03%E -4.16%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -4.62%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -14.23%E -7.91%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 18:18
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -7.56%E -3.90%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-27 18:50
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.92%EV -7.56%E -3.90%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-27 18:50
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -8.51%E -4.43%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 19:20
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -8.51%E -4.43%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 18:55
picklebet_au🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 12:55
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-27 18:55
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-27 19:15
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-27 19:14
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-27 19:20
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-27 19:20
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -9.94%E -5.26%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-27 18:50
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 19:00
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 18:59
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.71%E -2.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 19:00
1xBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.71%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.98%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 04:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.96%EV -5.65%E -2.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.86%EV -6.14%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 04:46
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.68%EV -5.65%E -2.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-27 19:15
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 18:55
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -7.56%E -3.90%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-27 18:55
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-27 19:35
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-27 19:30
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-27 19:30
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.99%E -4.71%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-27 18:55
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-27 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-27 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-27 19:20
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-27 19:20
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-27 19:34
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.43%E -3.52%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -13.41%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-20 20:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -11.43%E -3.52%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -7.08%E -3.63%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.90%E -3.07%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-27 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -12.79%E -4.00%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.61%EV -5.65%E -2.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -13.41%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-27 19:00
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -12.79%E -4.00%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -13.41%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-27 19:00
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -12.79%E -4.00%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -13.41%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-27 19:00
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.79%E -4.00%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -10.89%E -5.83%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-27 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -12.79%E -4.00%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.68%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-20 20:05
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -12.79%E -4.00%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.68%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-20 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-10-27 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-10-27 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-10-27 19:25
Matchbook◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-10-27 19:40
Smarkets◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-10-27 19:40

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.