The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Oxford United v Reading

Kickoff: 2026-11-04 19:45 UTC

Final: Oxford United 2–0 Reading

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oxford United (Local)

Prediction 34.18%2.93fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.903%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.28%34.42%34.13%37.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.662.702.8540.82%37.56%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Reading (Visit)

Prediction 37.93%2.64fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -0.867%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.92%37.75%37.97%38.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.482.482.6042.02%40.27%40.32%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.89%3.59fair odd
EV +0.395%
Edge +0.110%
Kelly +0.152%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.15%27.83%27.90%29.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.303.6032.26%30.08%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oxford United (Local): 34.18%; Reading (Visit): 37.93%; Draw: 27.89%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.395%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.12%E -4.28%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.395%E +0.110%K +0.152%G +0.001%6.2%2026-11-03 05:35
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.12%E -4.28%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.395%E +0.110%K +0.152%G +0.001%6.2%2026-11-03 05:29
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -10.09%E -3.84%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -2.39%E -0.684%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-04 19:25
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.84%EV -2.57%E -0.903%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.28%EV -4.42%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.88%EV -3.51%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-04 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 19:06
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-04 17:30
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-04 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-04 19:10
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -12.83%E -5.03%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -1.39%E -0.534%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -12.83%E -5.03%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -1.39%E -0.534%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 19:06
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -12.83%E -5.03%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -1.39%E -0.534%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 19:05
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -12.83%E -5.03%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -1.39%E -0.534%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -12.83%E -5.03%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -1.39%E -0.534%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 19:06
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -12.83%E -5.03%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -1.39%E -0.534%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -12.83%E -5.03%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -1.39%E -0.534%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 19:06
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -12.83%E -5.03%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -1.39%E -0.534%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 19:05
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-04 13:35
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-04 19:05
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-04 19:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -16.25%E -6.63%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-04 19:00
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-04 19:05
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.60%EV -8.04%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -5.94%E -2.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.87%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-04 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.60%EV -8.04%E -2.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -5.94%E -2.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.87%EV -6.86%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-04 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.36%EV -4.42%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-04 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.36%EV -4.42%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-04 19:20
picklebet_au🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-04 17:04
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-04 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-04 19:10
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -8.21%E -3.39%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-04 19:05
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-04 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-04 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-04 18:54
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -10.44%E -3.98%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-04 18:35
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.41%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-04 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-04 18:35
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.44%E -3.98%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -9.73%E -4.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-04 19:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.45%EV -15.22%E -6.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.16%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-04 19:05
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.45%EV -15.22%E -6.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.16%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-04 19:05
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.45%EV -15.22%E -6.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.16%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-04 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 17:04
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-04 19:10
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-04 19:19
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-04 19:20
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-04 18:34
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -15.22%E -6.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-04 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -15.22%E -6.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-04 19:05
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-04 19:10
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.97%E -3.74%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-04 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.41%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.46%EV -8.21%E -3.39%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-04 17:04
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.18%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.55%E -4.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-04 15:30
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -13.55%E -4.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-04 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -13.55%E -4.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-04 15:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.08%E -2.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -13.55%E -4.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-04 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.34%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-11-04 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.34%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-11-04 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.34%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-11-04 19:20
Matchbook◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.34%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-11-04 19:25
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.65%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-11-04 19:20

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