Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oxford United v Reading

2026-11-03 19:45 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oxford United (Local)

Prediction 49.11%2.04fair odd
EV -6.19%
Edge -3.24%
Kelly -6.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.84%49.11%49.11%49.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.881.911.9154.64%53.21%52.36%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Reading (Visit)

Prediction 23.65%4.23fair odd
EV -5.39%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.51%23.65%23.65%23.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.914.004.0026.32%25.59%25.00%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.24%3.67fair odd
EV -6.04%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.24%27.24%27.24%27.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.383.453.4530.30%29.58%28.99%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Oxford United (Local): 49.11%; Reading (Visit): 23.65%; Draw: 27.24%. For Reading (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -5.39%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 11:42
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 11:43
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 11:42
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 11:42
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 11:43
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 11:42
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.39%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 11:42
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 11:42
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 11:43
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 11:42
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 11:42
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 11:42
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.12%E -2.66%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.12%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 11:42
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.