The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Notts County v Stockport County FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:00 UTC

Final: Notts County 1–1 Stockport County FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Notts County (Local)

Prediction 22.66%4.41fair odd
EV +7.63%
Edge +1.61%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.155%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.70%22.49%22.61%23.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.244.204.7525.32%23.58%23.81%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stockport County FC (Visit)

Prediction 51.48%1.94fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.89%51.65%51.54%55.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.771.801.8860.98%56.46%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.86%3.87fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.452%
Kelly -0.613%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%25.86%25.86%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.623.603.8029.41%27.62%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notts County (Local): 22.66%; Stockport County FC (Visit): 51.48%; Draw: 25.86%. For Notts County (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +7.63%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.155%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -13.52%E -8.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.72%E -0.452%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +7.63%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.155%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -13.52%E -8.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.72%E -0.452%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +7.63%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.155%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -13.52%E -8.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.72%E -0.452%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +7.63%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.155%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -13.52%E -8.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.72%E -0.452%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:55
Casumo🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +7.63%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.155%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -13.52%E -8.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.72%E -0.452%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +7.63%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.155%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -13.52%E -8.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.72%E -0.452%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +7.63%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.155%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -13.52%E -8.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.72%E -0.452%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:55
betPARX🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +7.63%E +1.61%K +2.04%G +0.155%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -13.52%E -8.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -1.72%E -0.452%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:55
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV +1.97%E +0.437%K +0.562%G +0.011%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -15.06%E -9.13%K -23.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 13:50
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV +1.97%E +0.437%K +0.562%G +0.011%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -15.06%E -9.13%K -23.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV +1.97%E +0.437%K +0.562%G +0.011%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -15.06%E -9.13%K -23.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +1.97%E +0.437%K +0.562%G +0.011%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -15.58%E -9.50%K -24.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-24 13:55
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +1.97%E +0.437%K +0.562%G +0.011%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -15.58%E -9.50%K -24.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-24 13:25
Pinnacle🎯4.44I 22.52%NM 21.63%EV +0.609%E +0.137%K +0.177%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.48%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.89%EV -4.04%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 13:45
1xBet🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.16%EV +0.156%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.14%EV -9.40%E -5.34%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.70%EV -5.86%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:20
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.298%E -0.068%K -0.088%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 13:50
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -1.88%E -0.435%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -2.56%E -0.596%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%EV -14.03%E -8.40%K -20.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 13:50
picklebet_au🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -6.31%E -3.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.30%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 13:50
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.01%E -0.803%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:45
betano_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.30%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:55
Bet Victor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.30%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.30%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:40
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -6.31%E -3.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 13:49
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.72%E -0.452%K -0.613%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 13:19
Marathon Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.78%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -7.41%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 13:50
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.80%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -8.37%E -4.70%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -4.30%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 13:40
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -8.37%E -4.70%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -4.30%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 13:40
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 13:45
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -8.89%E -5.02%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -4.30%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 13:40
Bovada🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.89%E -5.02%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 13:39
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -3.22%E -1.72%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -8.18%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:55
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.18%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.18%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:55
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 13:55
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 13:50
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 13:50
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.18%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 13:50
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 13:40
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 13:45
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.89%E -5.02%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 13:50
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.06%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.06%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.06%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 13:35
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:24
LeoVegas🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 13:50
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.77%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 13:50
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.77%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.71%EV -7.86%E -4.39%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -10.77%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-10-24 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-10-24 13:50
Smarkets◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-10-24 13:55