Language:English
Notts County v Oxford United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Notts County (Local)
Prediction 37.08%2.70fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.83%37.06%37.01%37.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.492.502.6042.02%40.09%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oxford United (Visit)
Prediction 35.53%2.81fair odd
EV -0.519%
Edge -0.185%
Kelly -0.288%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.69%35.60%35.59%38.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.642.622.8041.67%37.90%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.40%3.65fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.382%
Kelly -0.529%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.84%27.34%27.40%28.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.343.303.6031.75%29.98%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notts County (Local): 37.08%; Oxford United (Visit): 35.53%; Draw: 27.40%. For Oxford United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.519%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -3.60%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -4.07%E -1.51%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.60%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.91%E -2.64%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 03:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 03:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 17:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 07:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -5.46%E -2.14%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -14.73%E -6.14%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 05:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.89%EV -6.57%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.17%EV -8.69%E -3.38%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.48%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.89%EV -6.57%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.17%EV -8.69%E -3.38%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -5.48%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 23:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -6.57%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 05:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -6.57%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.76%EV -6.94%E -2.77%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.91%EV -6.20%E -2.35%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -1.38%E -0.382%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 09:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -0.519%E -0.185%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -0.519%E -0.185%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -0.519%E -0.185%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 11:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -0.519%E -0.185%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -0.519%E -0.185%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -0.519%E -0.185%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -0.519%E -0.185%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -0.519%E -0.185%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 11:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 07:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.91%E -2.64%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -9.40%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 04:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 04:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 04:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 03:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 07:12 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.91%E -2.64%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.91%E -2.64%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.91%E -2.64%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.31%E -2.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.91%E -2.64%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -9.40%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 08:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.18%E -4.47%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.17%E -3.74%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -12.95%E -5.29%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-03 17:03 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -9.91%E -4.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-02 09:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -9.91%E -4.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -4.07%E -1.51%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -13.70%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -9.91%E -4.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -4.07%E -1.51%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -13.70%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.43%EV -9.91%E -4.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -4.07%E -1.51%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -13.70%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.20%EV -9.91%E -4.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -13.70%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.20%EV -9.91%E -4.08%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -13.70%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-04 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -11.76%E -4.94%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.18%E -4.47%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 2.8% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 2.8% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.47% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |