The School of Odds
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Notts County v Blackpool

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Notts County (Local)

Prediction 40.18%2.49fair odd
EV -4.77%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.56%40.23%40.15%40.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.312.302.3744.44%43.31%43.48%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Blackpool (Visit)

Prediction 31.72%3.15fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.22%31.68%31.69%32.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.912.903.0536.36%34.35%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.10%3.56fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%28.08%28.16%28.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.283.303.4031.75%30.47%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notts County (Local): 40.18%; Blackpool (Visit): 31.72%; Draw: 28.10%. For Blackpool (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -3.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -4.77%E -2.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -8.01%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-23 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -4.77%E -2.01%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -8.01%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-23 17:00
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:11
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:11
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:11
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:11
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:10
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:11
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -9.59%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-23 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -9.59%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.87%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-23 17:00
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -5.58%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -8.64%E -3.00%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-23 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -6.38%E -2.74%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.07%EV -8.01%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -6.71%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-23 17:32
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.59%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.84%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 17:00
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.59%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.46%E -1.31%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-23 17:05
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.59%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.01%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-24 14:30
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.59%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.59%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-23 22:07
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.39%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.59%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:10
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.39%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.59%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:11
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.39%E -3.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.59%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:10
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -3.25%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-23 17:00
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -3.25%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.08%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-23 17:01
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -4.84%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-23 17:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.01%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.68%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-23 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -9.59%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-21 12:13
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.77%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.27%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-24 00:59
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -9.59%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -11.49%E -3.65%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -9.59%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -11.49%E -3.65%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.