The School of Odds
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Notts County v Blackpool

2026-09-26 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Notts County (Local)

Prediction 39.94%2.50fair odd
EV -6.14%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -4.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.80%39.94%39.94%39.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.322.352.3544.44%43.13%42.55%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Blackpool (Visit)

Prediction 31.53%3.17fair odd
EV -6.98%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.53%31.53%31.53%31.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.912.952.9535.09%34.35%33.90%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.53%3.51fair odd
EV -5.86%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.36%28.53%28.53%28.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.253.303.3031.75%30.73%30.30%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Notts County (Local): 39.94%; Blackpool (Visit): 31.53%; Draw: 28.53%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.30, with an expected value of -5.86%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.86%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.86%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.86%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:11
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.86%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:11
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.86%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:11
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.86%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:11
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.86%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:10
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.86%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 14:11
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.94%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:10
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.94%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:11
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.94%E -3.92%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.71%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -10.14%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.14%E -3.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -10.14%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.14%E -3.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.