Language:English
Northampton Town v Port Vale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Northampton Town (Local)
Prediction 39.52%2.53fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.17%39.50%39.45%40.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.342.332.4544.44%42.68%42.92%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Port Vale (Visit)
Prediction 30.92%3.23fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.631%
Kelly -0.921%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.26%30.99%30.95%32.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.983.003.1735.09%33.55%33.33%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.56%3.38fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.742%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.29%29.51%29.60%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.153.153.3035.71%31.77%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northampton Town (Local): 39.52%; Port Vale (Visit): 30.92%; Draw: 29.56%. For Port Vale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.17, with an expected value of -2.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -2.45%E -0.742%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.56%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -2.31%E -0.730%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -6.59%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.56%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -2.31%E -0.730%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.35%EV -6.59%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.97%EV -4.75%E -1.97%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.39%EV -2.00%E -0.631%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-24 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-24 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 15:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.33%E -2.67%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.62%EV -5.40%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.84%EV -7.18%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -7.18%E -2.29%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-24 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -9.84%E -3.23%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-24 19:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -7.91%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-24 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -7.91%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-24 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -7.91%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-24 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -7.91%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-24 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -7.91%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-24 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -7.91%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-24 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -7.91%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-24 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -7.91%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-24 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -7.91%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-24 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.71%E -1.87%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.31%EV -8.70%E -3.77%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.86%EV -11.89%E -4.17%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-24 19:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.45%E -0.742%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-24 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-24 19:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-24 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-24 18:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-24 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-24 19:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.80%E -2.98%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-24 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.35%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-24 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -9.10%E -3.95%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -10.96%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -17.23%E -6.15%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-24 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -11.07%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.25%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-24 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 0.5% | 2026-02-24 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 0.5% | 2026-02-24 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 0.5% | 2026-02-24 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 0.5% | 2026-02-24 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-02-24 19:25 |