Language:English
Milton Keynes Dons v Reading
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Milton Keynes Dons (Local)
Prediction 33.72%2.97fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.61%33.66%33.71%34.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.752.8538.46%36.27%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Reading (Visit)
Prediction 39.77%2.51fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.86%39.75%39.76%40.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.302.4345.45%43.11%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.51%3.77fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.515%
Kelly -0.705%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.51%26.59%26.54%28.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.503.7031.25%28.85%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milton Keynes Dons (Local): 33.72%; Reading (Visit): 39.77%; Draw: 26.51%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.90%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.89%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.89%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.89%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 08:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.89%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 08:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.89%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 08:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.89%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.89%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 08:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.89%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.89%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.89%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -8.53%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.58%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.58%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -5.75%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.58%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -5.75%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.58%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.58%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.58%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.58%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.51%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -5.58%E -1.99%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -15.16%E -4.74%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 12:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -7.27%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.00%EV -3.37%E -1.39%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -5.35%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -7.27%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -1.90%E -0.515%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 08:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.27%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 14:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.27%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.27%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.27%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.27%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -7.27%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.53%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 07:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -7.27%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.53%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 07:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.27%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.27%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.27%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.53%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 07:12 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.27%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.53%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -7.27%E -2.64%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.43%EV -10.92%E -4.88%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 08:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.97%EV -7.60%E -2.77%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.44%EV -6.15%E -2.61%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 11:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.97%EV -7.60%E -2.77%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.44%EV -6.15%E -2.61%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -8.28%E -3.04%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.53%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 11:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -8.28%E -3.04%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.53%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.95%E -3.32%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.56%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 08:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.95%E -3.32%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.95%E -3.32%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.95%E -3.32%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-04 11:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -8.95%E -3.32%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -9.33%E -4.09%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -11.18%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-04 09:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -8.95%E -3.32%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -9.33%E -4.09%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -11.18%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-04 09:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -8.95%E -3.32%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -9.33%E -4.09%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -11.18%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-04 09:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -8.95%E -3.32%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.18%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-04 09:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -8.95%E -3.32%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -11.18%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-04 09:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -11.31%E -4.30%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-03 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -11.65%E -4.45%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-05 11:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -11.65%E -4.45%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.21%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-05 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.32%E -4.74%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.86%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-05 11:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.16% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.16% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.16% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.16% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 13:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.16% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.16% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.97% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.98% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |