The School of Odds
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Milton Keynes Dons v Doncaster Rovers

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC

Final: Milton Keynes Dons 6–1 Doncaster Rovers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milton Keynes Dons (Local)

Prediction 46.69%2.14fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.930%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.57%46.81%46.71%49.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.981.982.1054.64%50.58%50.51%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 27.52%3.63fair odd
EV -0.936%
Edge -0.260%
Kelly -0.360%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%27.42%27.53%28.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.46%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.79%3.88fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -0.873%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.94%25.77%25.76%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.583.603.7529.41%27.90%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milton Keynes Dons (Local): 46.69%; Doncaster Rovers (Visit): 27.52%; Draw: 25.79%. For Doncaster Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.936%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.98%EV -1.95%E -0.930%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.07%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.95%EV -4.05%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 14:45
picklebet_au🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 13:40
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 14:45
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.43%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 14:05
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 14:45
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 14:45
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 21:29
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.28%E -0.873%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.28%E -0.873%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:45
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:38
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.43%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.43%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 14:45
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 14:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:45
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 05:25
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 14:40
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.74%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.85%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.41%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 14:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 13:50
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 14:25
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -3.28%E -0.873%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-30 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 11:20
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 11:20
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.19%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 11:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -8.02%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 14:25
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -8.02%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -8.02%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 14:25
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -8.02%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -8.02%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -8.02%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.69%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 14:25
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.06%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-30 09:40
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.43%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 21:29
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.28%E -0.873%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 14:45
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-30 21:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-30 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 04:15
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.43%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 11:35
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.43%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -9.89%E -5.12%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -10.36%E -5.39%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -10.36%E -5.39%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.13%EV -10.36%E -5.39%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-30 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.82%E -5.67%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -7.82%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -12.69%E -6.79%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -3.28%E -0.873%K -1.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 06:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -14.56%E -7.96%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -0.936%E -0.260%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-31 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.99%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-10-31 14:45
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-10-31 14:45

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