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Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Milton Keynes Dons (Local)
Prediction 56.31%1.78fair odd
EV -5.40%
Edge -3.21%
Kelly -7.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%56.31%56.21%57.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.671.6862.50%60.44%59.88%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bromley FC (Visit)
Prediction 19.65%5.09fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.349%
Kelly -0.436%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.51%19.54%19.76%20.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.694.755.0022.22%21.34%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.04%4.16fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -0.963%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.17%24.15%24.03%25.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.823.854.0027.78%26.17%25.97%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milton Keynes Dons (Local): 56.31%; Bromley FC (Visit): 19.65%; Draw: 24.04%. For Bromley FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.00, with an expected value of -1.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-22 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -3.71%E -0.757%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -13.47%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-23 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -3.71%E -0.757%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -13.47%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-23 17:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.97%EV -5.40%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -11.06%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-25 06:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.85%E -0.963%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-23 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.68%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.85%E -0.963%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-23 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -6.66%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-23 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -5.96%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -7.64%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-24 01:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -3.85%E -0.963%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-23 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-23 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-23 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.32%EV -7.65%E -4.66%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -11.06%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-22 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.32%EV -7.65%E -4.66%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -11.06%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-22 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.32%EV -7.65%E -4.66%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -11.06%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-22 17:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.90%EV -8.21%E -5.04%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-23 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.29%EV -8.21%E -5.04%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.03%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -12.26%E -3.36%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-22 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.29%EV -8.21%E -5.04%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.03%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -12.26%E -3.36%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-22 17:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.38%EV -8.77%E -5.42%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -2.73%E -0.551%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-24 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -8.77%E -5.42%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -1.75%E -0.349%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-25 06:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.49%EV -8.77%E -5.42%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -5.05%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-23 22:07 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -9.90%E -6.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.61%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-22 07:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -9.90%E -6.19%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.57%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-24 00:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.