The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Mansfield Town v Oxford United

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC

Final: Mansfield Town 1–1 Oxford United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prediction 40.20%2.49fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.11%40.20%40.21%41.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.302.3845.45%43.25%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oxford United (Visit)

Prediction 33.46%2.99fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.786%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.23%33.50%33.46%35.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.752.9238.46%35.96%36.36%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.34%3.80fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.331%
Kelly -0.451%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.39%26.30%26.33%27.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.503.7530.30%28.55%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mansfield Town (Local): 40.20%; Oxford United (Visit): 33.46%; Draw: 26.34%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -4.32%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.24%E -0.331%K -0.451%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -4.72%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 18:45
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -4.72%E -1.99%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.56%E -0.691%K -0.948%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 17:15
picklebet_au🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 18:45
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 18:10
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 18:10
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 18:10
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 18:45
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-15 17:14
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 18:45
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-15 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-15 18:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -5.52%E -2.35%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -13.00%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 18:50
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.12%EV -5.92%E -2.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.95%EV -2.29%E -0.786%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.93%EV -2.30%E -0.619%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-15 18:55
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.12%EV -5.92%E -2.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.95%EV -2.29%E -0.786%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.93%EV -2.30%E -0.619%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-15 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.23%EV -5.92%E -2.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 18:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -5.92%E -2.53%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.34%EV -5.64%E -2.00%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-15 18:54
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.43%EV -7.13%E -3.09%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.12%EV -5.64%E -2.00%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -7.04%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 18:55
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -3.63%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 18:54
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -3.63%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 18:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 18:44
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 18:50
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 18:42
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-15 17:15
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-15 17:15
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 18:43
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-15 18:45
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-15 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-15 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-15 18:45
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-15 18:45
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -11.33%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-15 17:15
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 39.66%EV -7.93%E -3.46%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.63%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.81%EV -8.34%E -3.66%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.76%EV -4.97%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.43%EV -7.30%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 18:45
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -8.34%E -3.66%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -8.34%E -3.66%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -8.34%E -3.66%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 18:09
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -8.34%E -3.66%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 18:09
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -8.34%E -3.66%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -11.78%E -3.52%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -3.63%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:55
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-15 18:55
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.31%E -2.25%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-15 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-15 18:09
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.98%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-15 18:10
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.55%E -5.25%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -12.33%E -4.71%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-15 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-10-15 18:55
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-10-15 18:55
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-10-15 18:55