The School of Odds
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Mansfield Town v Leyton Orient

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prediction 44.63%2.24fair odd
EV -5.83%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -5.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.07%44.67%44.74%45.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.072.082.1149.50%48.34%48.08%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leyton Orient (Visit)

Prediction 28.86%3.46fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -0.986%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.88%28.69%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.203.3533.33%31.03%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.50%3.77fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%26.45%26.58%27.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.503.523.6029.85%28.58%28.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mansfield Town (Local): 44.63%; Leyton Orient (Visit): 28.86%; Draw: 26.50%. For Leyton Orient (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -3.30%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.07%EV -5.83%E -2.76%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -6.70%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-25 09:35
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.91%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 14:02
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.91%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 14:06
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.91%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 14:06
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.91%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 14:06
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.91%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.91%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 14:06
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.91%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 14:06
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.91%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.63%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-23 17:00
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.63%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-23 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-23 17:00
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-23 17:00
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.28%E -2.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.63%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-24 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -7.17%E -3.45%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 16:30
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.19%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -5.91%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-24 16:34
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.63%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-23 17:35
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.56%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-24 12:31
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-21 12:13
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.51%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.41%E -4.47%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-24 00:55
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.49%EV -8.95%E -4.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:05
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.49%EV -8.95%E -4.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:06
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.49%EV -8.95%E -4.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 14:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.99%EV -9.40%E -4.63%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.63%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.56%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-24 16:30
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.85%E -4.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -3.30%E -0.986%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.56%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-24 16:30
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.85%E -4.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -3.30%E -0.986%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.56%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-24 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -9.85%E -4.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -3.30%E -0.986%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-24 12:35
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -9.85%E -4.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -11.21%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 14:02
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -9.85%E -4.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -11.21%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 14:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.